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Rankings
#48 of 105 in Division 7
#10 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #89 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #73 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #656 Southern (Racine) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 H #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 34 (96%)
09/04 A #471 Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 19 (14%)
09/11 A Wahama WV (0-0) D5
09/18 H #653 Oak Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 H #593 Notre Dame (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 8 (69%)
10/02 A #696 Sciotoville Community (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/09 H #699 Green (FF) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/16 H #450 Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/23 A #566 Symmes Valley (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 2 (44%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.13 Harbin points (divisor 95)
#7 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
76% (bubble if 5-5), 49% home (maybe if 7-3), 21% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.96 ( 0.72-26.07) 82% in, 55% home, 25% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 6.66 ( 0.00-20.40) 42% in, 18% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 19.49 (14.38-26.07) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(10%) 9W: 16.77 (10.82-22.09) 100% in, 99% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 89%
(18%) 8W: 13.84 ( 8.26-19.95) 100% in, 96% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 43%
(22%) 7W: 11.13 ( 6.07-17.92) 99% in, 66% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Frontier (0-0) 8%
(21%) 6W: 8.73 ( 4.72-14.51) 81% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 6.79 ( 3.43-13.37) 37% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 4W: 5.03 ( 2.24- 9.35) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Symmes Valley (0-0) 11%
( 3%) 3W: 3.57 ( 1.47- 7.99) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.17 ( 0.75- 5.02) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Conotton Valley (0-0) 5%
Frontier (0-0) 5%
Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (0-0) 5%
Fisher Catholic (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Toronto (0-0) 12%
Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 12%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 11%
Danville (0-0) 9%
Conotton Valley (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 43.1, #656, D7 #81), 18% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 69.2