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Rankings
#41 of 107 in Division 7
#7 of 25 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #91 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D7 (+110 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 54-7 H #684 Southern (Racine) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 9 (66%), perf. rating 91
08/29 W 45-6 A #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 42 (98%), perf. rating 90
09/05 W 22-21 H #523 Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 76
09/12 L 43-13 H Wahama WV (3-0) D7
09/19 A #676 Oak Hill (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/26 A #590 Notre Dame (4-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/03 H #704 Sciotoville Community (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/10 H #708 Green (FF) (0-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/17 A #533 Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/24 H #480 Symmes Valley (4-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 2 (45%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.46 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#5 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.15 ( 5.45-19.59) 92% in, 71% home, 39% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 9.75 ( 5.36-17.43) 78% in, 48% home, 18% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
(24%) 9W: 17.42 (15.93-19.59) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(34%) 8W: 13.46 (11.92-17.64) 100% in, 99% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 40%
(28%) 7W: 10.12 ( 8.37-16.36) 99% in, 42% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 13%
(12%) 6W: 6.99 ( 5.75-12.51) 41% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Trimble (3-1) 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(24%) WWWWWW: 17.42 (15.93-19.59) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) WLWWWW: 14.08 (12.59-16.09) 100% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 67%
(18%) WWWWWL: 13.46 (11.92-15.52) 100% in, 99% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 27%
(13%) WWWWLW: 13.46 (11.97-15.99) 100% in, 99% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 49%
( 5%) WLWWWL: 10.48 ( 8.94-12.18) 99% in, 53% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 15%
( 4%) WLWWLW: 10.48 ( 8.99-12.75) 99% in, 65% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 12%
(18%) WWWWLL: 9.86 ( 8.37-11.77) 98% in, 30% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 13%
(10%) WLWWLL: 6.89 ( 5.75- 9.10) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Trimble (3-1) 15%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 77.5, #516, D7 #41), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 77.0, #517, D7 #43), 95% (bubble if 6-4), 80% home (maybe if 7-3), 47% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 76.6, #534, D7 #46), 78% (likely needs 7-3), 57% home (likely needs 8-2), 28% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 80.2, #512, D7 #40), 84% (bubble if 6-4), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 64.1, #589, D7 #56), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 7-3), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 67.5