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Rankings
#102 of 103 in Division 7
#27 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #95 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #102 in D7 (-960 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 38-32 A #698 Green (FF) (1-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 3 (44%), perf. rating -12
08/28 L 49-18 A #608 Alexander (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 12
09/04 L 44-14 A #688 Millersport (2-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 17 (17%), perf. rating -24
09/11 H #665 Bridgeport (1-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 H #676 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (1-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/25 A #675 Belpre (1-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/02 H #504 Eastern (Reedsville) (2-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/09 H #308 Waterford (3-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/16 A #630 Southern (Racine) (1-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/23 A #589 Trimble (1-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 47 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.50 ( 0.75- 5.65) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 6.90) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 2W: 2.55 ( 1.45- 6.90) out, proj. out
(12%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.70- 3.90) out, proj. out
(87%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 3.05 ( 2.35- 3.90) out
( 1%) LLLWLLL: 2.30 ( 1.05- 3.40) out
( 1%) LLLLLLW: 1.85 ( 0.70- 2.65) out
( 1%) LLLLLWL: 1.40 ( 0.70- 2.15) out
( 2%) WLLLLLL: 1.15 ( 0.75- 2.20) out
( 3%) LWLLLLL: 1.10 ( 0.75- 2.20) out
( 2%) LLWLLLL: 1.05 ( 0.70- 1.85) out
(87%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, -8.8, #699, D7 #102), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, -0.7, #698, D7 #101), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, -6.8, #700, D7 #103), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, -4.7, #699, D7 #102), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season -3.8