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Rankings
#94 of 103 in Division 7
#23 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #83 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D7 (-744 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 47-14 H #618 Alexander (4-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (56%), perf. rating 3
08/28 L 34-8 A #497 Eastern (Reedsville) (6-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 34 (4%), perf. rating 44
09/04 L 44-8 A #597 Southern (Racine) (4-4) D7 R27, pick: L by 10 (29%), perf. rating 9
09/11 L 41-8 H #583 Berne Union (5-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 27 (5%), perf. rating 12
09/18 L 38-0 A #578 Grove City Christian (3-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 10
09/26 L 41-28 A #641 Fisher Catholic (6-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 28
10/02 W 20-10 H #681 Fairfield Christian (3-5) D7 R27, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 40
10/09 L 27-0 A #687 Bishop Rosecrans (1-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 12 (79%), perf. rating -17
10/17 H #501 Summit Country Day (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/23 H #691 Millersport (2-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 5 (63%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.57 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.84 ( 3.78- 5.70) out, proj. out
Lose: 2.57 ( 1.51- 3.78) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(63%) 2W: 2.57 ( 2.57- 4.23) out, proj. out
(36%) 1W: 1.51 ( 1.51- 2.37) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(62%) LW: 2.57 ( 2.57- 3.78) out
(36%) LL: 1.51 ( 1.51- 2.37) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 26.4, #683, D7 #89), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (0-6, 23.4, #686, D7 #92), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (0-5, 21.1, #688, D7 #94), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (0-4, 21.8, #688, D7 #94), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 22.6, #685, D7 #92), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 31.3, #669, D7 #84), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 34.0, #670, D7 #86), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 51.9, #631, D7 #70), 49% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 45.8