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Rankings
#2 of 106 in Division 5
#1 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #13 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D5 (+635 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 42-0 A #235 Williamsburg (6-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 37 (96%), perf. rating 182
08/29 W 55-14 H Salem NJ (3-3) D6
09/04 W 17-10 H #78 Archbishop McNicholas (5-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 152
09/11 W 35-9 A Somerset KY (6-1) D4
09/18 W 38-7 A #184 Jackson (4-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 23 (92%), perf. rating 173
09/25 L 47-40 H #15 Big Walnut (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 15 (17%), perf. rating 162
10/03 W 37-0 H Bloomington South IN (6-1) D1
10/09 A #152 Harvest Prep (2-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/16 H #545 Gallia Academy (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #485 Portsmouth (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 48 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
31.77 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#1 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 31.77 (27.01-34.71) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
Lose: 29.31 (26.33-31.88) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(95%) 9W: 31.77 (27.59-34.71) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
( 5%) 8W: 29.51 (26.68-32.20) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(95%) WWW: 31.77 (27.59-34.71) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
( 4%) LWW: 29.33 (26.68-31.88) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 161.0, #32, D5 #2), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 161.2, #31, D5 #2), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 160.7, #35, D5 #2), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 156.2, #47, D5 #3), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 153.2, #54, D5 #4), likely in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 158.8, #41, D5 #2), likely in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 156.5, #40, D5 #2), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 93% home (maybe if 5-5), 72% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #2 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 153.6, #44, D5 #1), 95% (bubble if 3-7), 86% home (maybe if 5-5), 63% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #2 at 7-3
Last season 146.7