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Rankings
#1 of 106 in Division 5
#1 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #24 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D5 (+980 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/23 W 63-0 A Shelby Valley KY (1-3) D5
08/30 W 42-3 H Lynchburg Liberty Christian Academy VA (0-1) D4
09/05 W 29-7 A #76 Archbishop McNicholas (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 180
09/13 W 55-21 H Canisius NY (1-1) D2
09/19 H #142 Jackson (3-1) D3 R12, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/26 A #94 Wheelersburg (4-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/04 A Uniontown PA (2-2) D3
10/10 H #484 Fairland (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/17 A #436 Gallia Academy (2-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 H #468 Portsmouth (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
31.96 Harbin points (divisor 94)
#1 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 30.93 (18.07-38.19) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
Lose: 25.88 (15.67-31.26) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 91%
Based on eventual number of wins
(62%) 10W: 31.96 (26.49-38.19) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(34%) 9W: 28.60 (22.84-34.13) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) 8W: 24.21 (18.57-28.46) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 94%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(62%) WWWWWW: 31.96 (26.49-38.19) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(28%) WWLWWW: 28.76 (23.17-34.13) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) WLWWWW: 26.99 (22.84-33.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) LWWWWW: 26.95 (22.90-31.26) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WLLWWW: 23.78 (19.53-27.83) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 97%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 172.5, #14, D5 #1), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 170.8, #15, D5 #1), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 168.0, #20, D5 #1), likely in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 168.0, #20, D5 #1), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 92% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 168.0, #18, D5 #1), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 95% home (maybe if 5-5), 85% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 7-3
Last season 176.6