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Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#1 of 105 in Division 5
#1 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #4 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 37 (96%)
08/29 H Salem NJ (0-0) D6
09/04 H #86 Archbishop McNicholas (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 14 (78%)
09/11 A Somerset KY (0-0) D4
09/18 A #107 Jackson (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 14 (81%)
09/25 H #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/03 H Bloomington South IN (0-0) D1
10/09 A #68 Harvest Prep (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/16 H #468 Gallia Academy (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/23 A #263 Portsmouth (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
23.03 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#2 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
95% (bubble if 3-7), 86% home (maybe if 4-6), 64% bye (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.92 ( 1.93-41.39) 96% in, 88% home, 66% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 68%
Lose: 13.44 ( 0.00-33.98) 72% in, 47% home, 22% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 34.17 (25.72-41.39) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 9%) 9W: 30.79 (20.58-41.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(19%) 8W: 26.99 (16.53-37.40) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 98%
(24%) 7W: 23.03 (12.57-33.14) 100% in, 99% home, 87% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#10), bye 87%
(20%) 6W: 19.24 (11.87-29.80) 99% in, 96% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 53%
(14%) 5W: 15.67 ( 7.66-22.91) 98% in, 73% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 16%
( 7%) 4W: 12.21 ( 5.14-18.13) 79% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 3W: 8.87 ( 4.33-13.61) 33% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 10%
( 1%) 2W: 5.95 ( 1.93- 9.19) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 3%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 3%
Portsmouth (0-0) 2%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 10%
Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
Wheelersburg (0-0) 9%
Fort Frye (0-0) 8%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 81.9, #488, D5 #70), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 40% home (maybe if 8-2), 9% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #9 at 7-3
Last season 146.7