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Rankings
#96 of 102 in Division 3
#23 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #90 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D3 (-417 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 46-7 A Boyd County KY (4-3) D3
08/28 L 55-0 H #197 Jackson (5-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 31 (6%), perf. rating 59
09/04 L 35-17 H Point Pleasant WV (3-4) D3
09/11 L 34-0 A #504 Portsmouth (3-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 31
09/18 L 26-8 H #474 Fairland (5-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 56
09/25 W 33-13 A #559 Dawson-Bryant (2-6) D5 R19, pick: L by 24 (6%), perf. rating 101
10/02 W 28-27 H #556 Rock Hill (1-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 69
10/09 W 19-14 A #607 Chesapeake (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 12 (79%), perf. rating 68
10/16 A #24 Ironton (7-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 H #443 South Point (7-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 17 (13%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.31 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.79 ( 8.69-13.53) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 4.31 ( 4.21- 9.10) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(15%) 4W: 8.13 ( 7.62- 9.25) out, proj. out
(85%) 3W: 4.31 ( 4.21- 5.23) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(14%) LW: 8.13 ( 7.62- 9.10) out
(85%) LL: 4.31 ( 4.21- 5.23) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 72.4, #545, D3 #93), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 74.6, #529, D3 #90), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (0-5, 62.2, #589, D3 #98), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (0-4, 61.2, #590, D3 #97), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 80.0, #496, D3 #82), 7% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 79.6, #495, D3 #86), 10% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 85.4, #458, D3 #79), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 85.4, #468, D3 #82), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 91.6