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Rankings
#59 of 105 in Division 5
#12 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #74 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #415 Portsmouth West (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A Point Pleasant WV (0-0) D2
09/04 N Tri-Cities Christian TN (0-0) D7
09/11 A #510 Rock Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (78%)
09/18 A #468 Gallia Academy (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/25 H #595 South Point (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #263 Portsmouth (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/09 A #436 Logan Elm (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 H #322 Dawson-Bryant (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 H #602 Chesapeake (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.24 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#10 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
55% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.17 ( 0.81-29.55) 75% in, 47% home, 15% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 20%
Lose: 8.13 ( 0.00-24.97) 34% in, 14% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 23.38 (17.71-29.55) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 92%
( 7%) 9W: 20.38 (14.76-25.48) 100% in, 99% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 61%
(13%) 8W: 17.48 (10.84-23.24) 99% in, 89% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
(16%) 7W: 14.73 ( 9.17-21.16) 97% in, 55% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 9%
(16%) 6W: 12.24 ( 6.53-19.28) 77% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
(15%) 5W: 9.80 ( 4.75-15.51) 39% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 10%
(13%) 4W: 7.56 ( 3.33-12.56) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 11%
(10%) 3W: 5.43 ( 1.86-10.28) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 2W: 3.50 ( 0.90- 7.99) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.78 ( 0.35- 5.50) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 7%
Portsmouth (0-0) 7%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 7%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 16%
Ironton (0-0) 15%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 10%
Fort Frye (0-0) 9%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 78.8, #504, D5 #74), 9% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 84.2