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Rankings
#6 of 105 in Division 5
#2 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #42 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #78 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #263 Portsmouth (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 30 (92%)
08/28 A #319 Chillicothe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (95%)
09/04 H #107 Jackson (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 11 (73%)
09/11 A #454 Northwest (McDermott) (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/18 H #433 Valley (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/25 A #56 Steubenville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 5 (38%)
10/02 H #653 Oak Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #505 Waverly (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/16 H #624 Minford (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #415 Portsmouth West (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
23.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 77% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.20 ( 3.85-32.85) 99% in, 97% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 81%
Lose: 16.27 ( 0.90-28.80) 89% in, 67% home, 27% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 30%
Based on eventual number of wins
(30%) 10W: 26.40 (18.90-32.85) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(34%) 9W: 23.30 (15.60-29.90) 100% in, 99% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 92%
(21%) 8W: 19.60 (11.55-27.30) 99% in, 98% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 62%
( 9%) 7W: 16.40 (10.45-22.75) 99% in, 83% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 20%
( 3%) 6W: 13.35 ( 7.85-20.50) 93% in, 45% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
( 1%) 5W: 10.45 ( 6.05-16.05) 58% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 11%
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 2%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 2%
Piketon (0-0) 1%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 1%
Most likely second round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 10%
Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
Ironton (0-0) 9%
Fort Frye (0-0) 7%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 84.6, #474, D5 #66), 36% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 152.0