Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#42 of 105 in Division 5
#10 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #29 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #67 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #448 Marietta (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 17 (78%)
08/28 A #486 Warren (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 18 (82%)
09/04 H #313 Philo (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 A #298 West Muskingum (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 A #104 Tri-Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/25 H #186 Sheridan (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/02 H #560 Coshocton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/09 A #410 Meadowbrook (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/16 A #100 New Lexington (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 H #472 Crooksville (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 20 (91%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
52% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.15 ( 0.55-33.05) 62% in, 37% home, 14% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 23%
Lose: 5.15 ( 0.00-29.45) 20% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 27.45 (21.55-33.05) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 5%) 9W: 23.15 (17.05-29.45) 100% in, 99% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 85%
(10%) 8W: 19.30 (11.85-26.85) 100% in, 96% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 43%
(14%) 7W: 15.85 ( 9.85-23.15) 99% in, 70% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 9%
(16%) 6W: 12.80 ( 6.95-20.70) 84% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
(16%) 5W: 10.15 ( 4.70-17.10) 47% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 7.65 ( 2.80-13.80) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 10%
(11%) 3W: 5.40 ( 2.20-11.50) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 8%) 2W: 3.45 ( 0.95- 8.15) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 1.45 ( 0.40- 4.90) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 7%
Portsmouth (0-0) 6%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 6%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 16%
Ironton (0-0) 15%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 10%
Fort Frye (0-0) 9%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 70.7, #553, D5 #84), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 11% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 109.6