Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#77 of 106 in Division 5
#18 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #38 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D5 (-393 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-32 H #529 Marietta (0-7) D3 R11, pick: W by 17 (78%), perf. rating 78
08/28 L 28-21 A #537 Warren (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (85%), perf. rating 65
09/04 L 35-6 H #226 Philo (5-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 26 (7%), perf. rating 74
09/11 L 44-0 A #181 West Muskingum (6-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 25 (7%), perf. rating 65
09/18 L 36-7 A #193 Tri-Valley (4-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 83
09/25 L 40-20 H #196 Sheridan (6-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 92
10/02 L 21-19 H #555 Coshocton (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 18 (88%), perf. rating 65
10/09 A #488 Meadowbrook (2-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/16 A #80 New Lexington (7-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/23 H #450 Crooksville (3-4) D6 R23, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.05 ( 1.95-10.55) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 1.10 ( 0.55- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 3W: 5.10 ( 4.10- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(35%) 2W: 2.75 ( 1.95- 6.55) out, proj. out
(50%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.55- 2.10) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(14%) WLW: 5.10 ( 4.10- 6.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Worthington Christian (5-2) 57%
(17%) LLW: 3.30 ( 2.30- 4.30) out
(18%) WLL: 2.50 ( 1.95- 3.50) out
(50%) LLL: 1.10 ( 0.55- 2.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 77.4, #516, D5 #77), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (1-5, 80.8, #489, D5 #71), 2% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 80.7, #490, D5 #70), 3% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 80.3, #493, D5 #73), 3% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 84.3, #467, D5 #63), 7% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 90.5, #422, D5 #56), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 98.8, #376, D5 #50), 44% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 103.1, #334, D5 #42), 53% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 109.6