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Rankings
#57 of 104 in Division 3
#13 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #101 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #507 Logan (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 25 (87%)
08/28 A #193 Unioto (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (18%)
09/04 H #448 Marietta (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 20 (87%)
09/11 A #636 Alexander (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 39 (99%)
09/18 H #601 Vinton County (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 35 (99%)
09/25 H #486 Warren (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/02 A #553 Meigs (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/09 H #662 Wellston (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/16 H #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
76% (bubble if 7-3), 44% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.80 ( 1.05-28.65) 81% in, 48% home, 11% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 14%
Lose: 11.30 ( 0.00-25.25) 49% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), East (Columbus) (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 10W: 22.55 (17.15-28.65) 100% in, 99% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 55%
(24%) 9W: 18.95 (13.70-25.50) 99% in, 86% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 15%
(28%) 8W: 15.40 (10.60-21.85) 95% in, 41% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), East (Columbus) (0-0) 7%
(19%) 7W: 12.70 ( 8.50-19.65) 69% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), East (Columbus) (0-0) 8%
(10%) 6W: 10.30 ( 6.55-16.00) 28% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Jackson (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 5W: 8.15 ( 4.75-13.20) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 3%) 4W: 6.00 ( 3.05-10.60) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 3W: 4.00 ( 1.95- 8.60) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
East (Columbus) (0-0) 7%
Sheridan (0-0) 6%
Jonathan Alder (0-0) 6%
Bishop Hartley (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Licking Valley (0-0) 13%
Tri-Valley (0-0) 11%
Jackson (0-0) 11%
Steubenville (0-0) 8%
Granville (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 45.4, #652, D3 #102), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 106.0