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Rankings
#52 of 107 in Division 3
#12 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #107 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #30 in D3 (+12 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 41-0 H #488 Logan (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 13 (72%), perf. rating 140
08/29 W 48-0 H #622 Paint Valley (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 37 (97%), perf. rating 117
09/05 W 33-21 A #458 Marietta (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 105
09/12 W 71-0 H #608 Alexander (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 120
09/19 A #627 Vinton County (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/27 A #411 Warren (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/03 H #577 Meigs (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/10 A #653 Wellston (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/17 A #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 H #248 Nelsonville-York (4-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 2 (55%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
13.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 8-2), 34% home (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.35 ( 8.10-21.70) 94% in, 34% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Linden McKinley (4-0) 16%
Lose: 12.20 ( 8.00-17.95) 74% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(48%) 10W: 18.25 (15.85-21.70) 100% in, 64% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 18%
(42%) 9W: 13.90 (11.70-20.65) 95% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 16%
( 9%) 8W: 11.75 ( 9.75-17.25) 64% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(48%) WWWWWW: 18.25 (15.85-21.70) 100% in, 64% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 18%
( 4%) WLWWWW: 16.15 (14.50-18.60) 100% in, 27% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 17%
(38%) WWWWWL: 13.80 (11.70-16.95) 95% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 16%
( 7%) WLWWWL: 11.70 (10.00-14.30) 60% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 115.5, #250, D3 #52), 94% (bubble if 8-2), 34% home (maybe if 10-0), proj. #11 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 114.6, #260, D3 #52), 96% (bubble if 7-3), 48% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 117.8, #238, D3 #50), 95% (bubble if 7-3), 66% home (maybe if 9-1), 7% bye, proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 118.8, #221, D3 #48), 94% (bubble if 7-3), 69% home (maybe if 9-1), 11% bye, proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 0 (0-0, 104.8, #317, D3 #64), 73% (bubble if 7-3), 50% home (maybe if 8-2), 17% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 8-2
Last season 110.2