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Rankings
#43 of 101 in Division 4
#13 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #65 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #319 Chillicothe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 1 (48%)
08/28 A #366 Washington (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 4 (58%)
09/04 H #474 Westfall (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 22 (89%)
09/11 A #318 Amanda-Clearcreek (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/18 A #548 McClain (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 H #233 Hamilton Township (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (31%)
10/02 H #271 Fairfield Union (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/09 A #528 Liberty Union (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 H #180 Bloom-Carroll (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/23 H #436 Logan Elm (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 17 (87%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
55% (bubble if 6-4), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.55 ( 0.55-31.50) 77% in, 56% home, 27% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 36%
Lose: 8.05 ( 0.00-28.50) 34% in, 17% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 25.45 (18.75-31.50) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
(11%) 9W: 21.80 (15.30-28.55) 100% in, 99% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 62%
(13%) 8W: 18.20 (11.75-25.35) 99% in, 85% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 20%
(13%) 7W: 15.10 ( 8.65-24.00) 94% in, 47% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
(13%) 6W: 12.10 ( 6.20-20.10) 65% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 8%
(12%) 5W: 9.45 ( 4.60-16.90) 27% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 7.05 ( 3.05-13.35) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 12%
( 9%) 3W: 4.95 ( 1.40-11.10) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 7%) 2W: 3.10 ( 0.85- 7.85) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 1.35 ( 0.40- 5.20) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Indian Creek (0-0) 5%
St Clairsville (0-0) 5%
Union Local (0-0) 5%
West Muskingum (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 13%
New Lexington (0-0) 12%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 8%
St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
Johnstown (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 92.6, #421, D4 #65), 38% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 113.4