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Rankings
#10 of 100 in Division 2
#3 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #23 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #14 in D2 (+308 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-6 A #262 Cleveland Heights (1-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 149
08/28 W 33-8 A #197 Hilliard Davidson (2-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 162
09/04 W 19-17 A #63 Jackson (Massillon) (4-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 154
09/10 W 42-8 H #265 Solon (3-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 162
09/18 W 38-0 A #136 North Royalton (3-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (92%), perf. rating 191
09/25 W 42-7 H #241 Medina (1-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 167
10/02 A #257 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 H #28 Hudson (5-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/16 A #34 Highland (Medina) (5-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/23 H #36 Nordonia (5-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (70%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
30.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 67% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 29.85 (17.40-39.25) 100% in, 94% home, 67% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 67%
Lose: 22.90 (16.20-34.25) 100% in, 70% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
(30%) 10W: 35.50 (33.00-39.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(32%) 9W: 30.40 (27.35-34.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(25%) 8W: 24.95 (21.85-30.40) 100% home, 19% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), North Royalton (3-3) 35%
(12%) 7W: 19.80 (17.40-24.15) 100% in, 54% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 30%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(30%) WWWW: 35.50 (33.00-39.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 7%) WWWL: 30.50 (28.10-32.60) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
(15%) WWLW: 30.40 (27.35-33.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(11%) WLWW: 30.35 (27.85-33.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(11%) WLLW: 25.30 (22.85-27.95) 100% home, 16% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), North Royalton (3-3) 39%
( 8%) WWLL: 24.95 (21.85-28.20) 100% home, 11% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), North Royalton (3-3) 37%
( 6%) WLWL: 24.90 (22.45-26.95) 100% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 32%
(12%) WLLL: 19.35 (17.40-22.50) 100% in, 52% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 30%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (6-0, 164.1, #24, D2 #10), appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 67% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 163.5, #27, D2 #11), appears locked in and likely home, 59% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 159.2, #37, D2 #13), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 7-3), 57% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 159.5, #36, D2 #13), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 7-3), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 167.0, #22, D2 #11), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 65% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 168.5, #20, D2 #9), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 68% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 168.6, #19, D2 #11), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 87% home (maybe if 6-4), 63% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 173.7