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Rankings
#6 of 104 in Division 2
#3 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #28 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D2 (+265 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 55-7 H #429 Barberton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 36 (95%), perf. rating 152
08/29 W 35-7 H #104 New Albany (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 23 (88%), perf. rating 180
09/05 W 47-0 A #141 Medina (2-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 27 (93%), perf. rating 198
09/12 W 48-14 A #204 North Royalton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 32 (97%), perf. rating 174
09/19 H #121 Twinsburg (4-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (97%)
09/26 H #182 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/03 A #36 Hudson (3-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/10 A #55 Nordonia (4-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/17 H #239 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/24 A #252 Solon (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
34.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 33.30 (15.95-38.80) 100% in, 99% home, 97% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#10), bye 97%
Lose: 24.40 (13.00-32.40) 100% in, 97% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 64%
Based on eventual number of wins
(59%) 10W: 34.10 (30.25-38.80) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(30%) 9W: 29.05 (24.85-35.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 9%) 8W: 23.85 (19.85-29.20) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 73%
( 1%) 7W: 19.70 (15.80-26.05) 100% in, 95% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), bye 23%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(59%) WWWWWW: 34.10 (30.25-38.80) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(19%) WWLWWW: 29.05 (25.20-32.95) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 8%) WWWLWW: 28.60 (24.85-32.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 7%) WWLLWW: 23.70 (19.85-27.50) 100% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 70%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 169.7, #19, D2 #6), appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 166.5, #23, D2 #7), likely in and likely home, 88% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 160.8, #34, D2 #10), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 67% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 160.6, #29, D2 #9), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 85% home (maybe if 6-4), 59% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 157.4, #33, D2 #8), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 46% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 155.4