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Rankings
#11 of 100 in Division 2
#4 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #22 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D2 (+351 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-6 A #261 Cleveland Heights (1-7) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 150
08/28 W 33-8 A #193 Hilliard Davidson (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 163
09/04 W 19-17 A #47 Jackson (Massillon) (6-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 157
09/10 W 42-8 H #284 Solon (3-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 160
09/18 W 38-0 A #198 North Royalton (3-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (92%), perf. rating 182
09/25 W 42-7 H #229 Medina (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 169
10/02 W 35-14 A #256 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 148
10/09 W 24-22 H #30 Hudson (6-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 163
10/16 A #27 Highland (Medina) (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/23 H #39 Nordonia (7-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
30.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 80% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 35.35 (28.65-37.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Lose: 29.70 (23.00-31.65) 100% home, 65% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 65%
Based on eventual number of wins
(33%) 10W: 35.35 (34.10-37.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(44%) 9W: 30.20 (28.55-31.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(23%) 8W: 24.85 (23.00-26.20) 100% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), North Royalton (3-5) 34%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(33%) WW: 35.35 (34.10-37.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(35%) LW: 30.30 (28.55-31.65) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 9%) WL: 29.90 (28.65-31.75) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 98%
(23%) LL: 24.85 (23.00-26.20) 100% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), North Royalton (3-5) 34%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 162.7, #26, D2 #11), appears locked in, 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 61% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 164.1, #24, D2 #10), appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 67% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 163.5, #27, D2 #11), appears locked in and likely home, 59% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 159.2, #37, D2 #13), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 7-3), 57% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 159.5, #36, D2 #13), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 7-3), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 167.0, #22, D2 #11), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 65% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 168.5, #20, D2 #9), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 68% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 168.6, #19, D2 #11), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 87% home (maybe if 6-4), 63% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 173.7