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Rankings
#78 of 100 in Division 2
#19 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #68 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #89 in D2 (-715 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 33-0 A #136 North Royalton (3-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 85
08/28 L 42-0 H #129 North (Eastlake) (6-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 69
09/04 L 46-8 A #264 Revere (4-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 59
09/11 L 20-6 A #341 North Olmsted (3-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 18 (14%), perf. rating 84
09/18 L 48-7 H #79 Rocky River (6-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 81
09/25 L 19-14 A #319 Buckeye (2-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 101
10/02 A #456 Westlake (2-4) D2 R6, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/08 H #467 Bay (1-5) D4 R14, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/16 A #352 Lakewood (5-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/23 H #619 Normandy (0-6) D2 R6, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.00 ( 1.70- 9.85) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 1.70 ( 0.00- 8.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 4W: 8.55 ( 8.45- 9.85) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(31%) 3W: 4.00 ( 3.90- 9.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(37%) 2W: 2.30 ( 1.70- 6.85) out, proj. out
(22%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.60- 4.55) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WWWW: 8.55 ( 8.45- 9.85) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 39%
( 4%) LWWW: 6.85 ( 6.25- 8.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Clay (6-0) 100%
( 2%) WLWW: 6.85 ( 6.35- 8.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Lakewood (5-1) 100%
(25%) WWLW: 4.00 ( 3.90- 5.70) out
(11%) WLLW: 2.30 ( 2.30- 4.40) out
(24%) LWLW: 1.70 ( 1.70- 4.00) out
(21%) LLLW: 0.60 ( 0.60- 1.20) out
( 1%) LLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (0-6, 87.6, #446, D2 #78), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (0-5, 83.2, #479, D2 #83), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (0-4, 84.3, #471, D2 #84), 2% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 85.7, #459, D2 #82), 6% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 95.8, #389, D2 #73), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 103.8, #337, D2 #68), 32% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 110.8, #278, D2 #58), 49% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 113.1