Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#380 St Vincent-St Mary Irish (0-4) 98.8

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#75 of 104 in Division 2
#19 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #1 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #65 in D2 (-305 WP+)

Lists this team is on
Toughest schedules

Schedule and results
08/22 L 42-0 A #55 Nordonia (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 32 (7%), perf. rating 89
08/29 L 36-0 A #82 Perry (Massillon) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 93
09/05 L 49-0 H #36 Hudson (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 38 (2%), perf. rating 94
09/12 L 42-6 H #116 Warren G Harding (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 26 (6%), perf. rating 83
09/19 H #67 Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/26 A #265 Elyria Catholic (1-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/10 A #58 Harvest Prep (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/17 H #6 Walsh Jesuit (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/24 A #91 Benedictine (4-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 35 (1%)

Regular season projections
0-9 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 85)
out of R5 playoffs

Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance)

Depending on the next game
Win: 4.73 ( 3.32-11.66) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.83) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)

Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 2W: 5.93 ( 3.41-10.51) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(19%) 1W: 1.20 ( 1.20- 6.43) out, proj. out
(80%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLW: 4.43 ( 3.14- 6.43) out
(15%) LWLLL: 1.20 ( 1.20- 3.67) out
(80%) LLLLL: 0.00 out

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 98.8, #380, D2 #75), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-9
Week 3 (0-3, 103.1, #357, D2 #74), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 104.8, #326, D2 #73), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 109.7, #295, D2 #66), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 114.5, #247, D2 #52), 9% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 107.8