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Rankings
#3 of 107 in Division 6
#1 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #4 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #174 Versailles (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 20 (82%)
08/28 H #32 Marion Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (33%)
09/04 H Lumen Christi MI (0-0) D7
09/11 A #55 Perkins (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 A #2 Bishop Watterson (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 A #312 Roger Bacon (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/01 A #552 Centennial (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/09 H #44 Ironton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/16 H #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/23 A #402 KIPP Columbus (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
16.27 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#5 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
81% (bubble if 4-6), 63% home (maybe if 5-5), 39% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.54 ( 0.76-38.83) 87% in, 70% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 51%
Lose: 10.88 ( 0.00-32.97) 55% in, 32% home, 13% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 31.43 (21.48-38.83) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 9W: 27.15 (15.83-37.41) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 99%
(14%) 8W: 23.54 (14.87-33.59) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 91%
(18%) 7W: 19.93 (10.70-31.21) 99% in, 96% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 66%
(20%) 6W: 16.27 ( 7.03-26.06) 97% in, 77% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 26%
(18%) 5W: 12.86 ( 5.20-22.65) 81% in, 37% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Caldwell (0-0) 7%
(12%) 4W: 9.86 ( 3.64-17.86) 46% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Waterford (0-0) 7%
( 6%) 3W: 7.22 ( 2.78-13.44) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Northmor (0-0) 12%
( 2%) 2W: 4.73 ( 1.05- 9.57) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 1W: 2.23 ( 0.50- 5.29) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Caldwell (0-0) 3%
Waterford (0-0) 3%
West Jefferson (0-0) 3%
Colonel Crawford (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Garaway (0-0) 10%
Nelsonville-York (0-0) 10%
Colonel Crawford (0-0) 10%
Centerburg (0-0) 10%
Northmor (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 146.8, #68, D6 #3), 81% (bubble if 4-6), 63% home (maybe if 5-5), 39% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Last season 146.8