Region 9 home page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 9 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#21 of 104 in Division 3
#8 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #23 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D3 (+285 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 32-14 A #248 Gilmour Academy (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 144
08/28 W 7-3 H #275 Padua Franciscan (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 116
09/04 A #544 Lutheran West (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/11 H #171 Notre Dame-Cath. Latin (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 7 (66%)
09/18 A #137 Lake Catholic (1-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 2 (44%)
09/25 H #28 St Ignatius (1-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/02 A #50 Cardinal Mooney (1-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/16 A #42 Villa Angela-St Joseph (1-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/23 A #390 St Vincent-St Mary (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
5-4 record
4.12 Harbin points (divisor 90)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
44% (likely needs 6-3), 20% home (maybe if 6-3), 5% bye (maybe if 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.24 ( 2.16- 8.21) 44% in, 20% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 6.96 ( 6.14- 7.54) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 89%
( 9%) 7W: 5.97 ( 5.37- 6.58) 100% in, 96% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 21%
(28%) 6W: 5.05 ( 4.36- 5.62) 94% in, 28% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), University School (2-0) 7%
(33%) 5W: 4.12 ( 3.54- 4.73) 15% in, proj. out (#9-out), Salem (2-0) 11%
(23%) 4W: 3.21 ( 2.82- 3.81) out, proj. out
( 3%) 3W: 2.53 ( 2.16- 2.90) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWLLWW: 6.08 ( 5.58- 6.58) 100% in, 99% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 24%
( 4%) WWWLWLW: 5.91 ( 5.37- 6.34) 100% in, 95% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 16%
(21%) WWWLLLW: 5.09 ( 4.36- 5.59) 95% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Madison (1-1) 7%
( 2%) WWLLWLW: 4.93 ( 4.43- 5.48) 87% in, 14% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Lake Catholic (1-1) 12%
( 8%) WLWLLLW: 4.13 ( 3.76- 4.57) 20% in, proj. out (#9-out), Salem (2-0) 14%
(23%) WWLLLLW: 4.07 ( 3.54- 4.61) 13% in, proj. out (#9-out), Garfield Heights (2-0) 10%
(19%) WLLLLLW: 3.21 ( 2.82- 3.70) out
( 3%) WLLLLLL: 2.53 ( 2.16- 2.90) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (2-0, 131.3, #141, D3 #21), 48% (bubble if 5-4), 23% home (maybe if 6-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. out at 5-4
Week 1 (1-0, 139.2, #98, D3 #13), 52% (bubble if 5-4), 31% home (maybe if 6-3), 13% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #10 at 6-3
Week 0 (0-0, 135.5, #117, D3 #18), 44% (bubble if 6-3), 26% home (maybe if 7-2), 11% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. out at 5-4
Last season 132.0