Region 5 home page
Region 5 projections
Region 5 playoff probabilities
Region 5 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 5 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#1 of 100 in Division 2
#1 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #2 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D2 (+880 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 34-0 A #44 Highland (Medina) (1-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 210
08/28 W by forfeit H #29 Springfield (1-1) D1 R2 (no game)
09/04 H #10 Toledo Central Catholic (2-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 19 (86%)
09/11 H #28 St Ignatius (1-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/25 H #12 Archbishop Hoban (0-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/02 H #390 St Vincent-St Mary (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 H #40 Ursuline (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/16 H #2 Bishop Watterson (2-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 A #45 Trotwood-Madison (1-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
9-0 record
9.39 Harbin points (divisor 86)
#1 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 98% home, 92% bye (likely needs 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.17 ( 4.10-10.03) 100% in, 99% home, 97% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#12), bye 97%
Lose: 7.18 ( 2.97- 8.88) 99% in, 91% home, 65% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 66%
Based on eventual number of wins
(52%) 9W: 9.39 ( 8.52-10.03) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(30%) 8W: 8.29 ( 7.61- 9.10) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(11%) 7W: 7.24 ( 6.53- 7.89) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 83%
( 4%) 6W: 6.22 ( 5.54- 6.88) 100% in, 97% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), bye 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(52%) WWWWWWW: 9.39 ( 8.52-10.03) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 5%) WWLWWWW: 8.52 ( 7.86- 9.10) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) LWWWWWW: 8.24 ( 7.62- 8.88) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(16%) WWWWWLW: 8.22 ( 7.61- 8.90) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) WWLWWLW: 7.39 ( 6.67- 7.81) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 89%
( 3%) LWWWWLW: 7.04 ( 6.53- 7.53) 100% home, 77% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 77%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (2-0, 195.7, #1, D2 #1), likely in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #1 at 9-0
Week 1 (1-0, 197.7, #1, D2 #1), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 4-5), 92% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #1 at 8-1
Week 0 (0-0, 180.6, #4, D2 #3), 84% (bubble if 3-6), 71% home (maybe if 5-4), 49% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #4 at 6-3
Last season 183.8