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Rankings
#19 of 80 in Division 1
#5 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #48 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #37 Austintown-Fitch (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 4 (43%)
08/28 A #99 Jackson (Massillon) (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 13 (74%)
09/04 H #330 St Vincent-St Mary (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 38 (98%)
09/11 H #149 North Royalton (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 24 (92%)
09/18 A #76 Nordonia (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (69%)
09/25 A #280 Solon (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/02 H #234 Medina (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/09 A #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 H #270 Stow-Munroe Falls (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 H #9 Highland (Medina) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 22 (7%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
18.14 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#5 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 3-7), 75% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.03 ( 3.12-39.68) 99% in, 94% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 63%
Lose: 14.03 ( 0.00-36.41) 87% in, 60% home, 16% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 32.51 (25.59-39.68) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(13%) 9W: 27.37 (19.54-37.67) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(18%) 8W: 22.55 (14.95-31.26) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 66%
(19%) 7W: 18.14 (11.27-26.27) 100% in, 98% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 21%
(16%) 6W: 14.41 ( 8.19-25.47) 99% in, 80% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Brunswick (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 11.03 ( 5.73-19.26) 98% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 4W: 8.01 ( 3.16-16.09) 78% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 3W: 5.49 ( 2.46-12.66) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 11%
( 2%) 2W: 3.17 ( 1.15- 8.83) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.55- 6.26) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Most likely first round opponents
St Ignatius (0-0) 5%
Brunswick (0-0) 5%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 5%
Strongsville (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 13%
St Edward (0-0) 13%
Mentor (0-0) 13%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 12%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 154.3, #41, D1 #19), 92% (bubble if 3-7), 75% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 157.5