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Rankings
#11 of 80 in Division 1
#3 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #34 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D1 (+553 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 24-19 A #27 Austintown-Fitch (1-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 174
08/28 W 55-35 A #62 Jackson (Massillon) (1-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 6 (62%), perf. rating 181
09/04 W 54-13 H #397 St Vincent-St Mary (0-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 154
09/11 H #119 North Royalton (3-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (96%)
09/18 A #46 Nordonia (3-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 11 (75%)
09/25 A #258 Solon (2-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/02 H #221 Medina (0-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/09 A #36 Wadsworth (3-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/16 H #212 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 H #35 Highland (Medina) (2-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
31.05 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#1 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 87% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 31.61 (13.40-41.00) 100% in, 99% home, 89% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#11), bye 89%
Lose: 21.77 ( 9.77-35.40) 99% in, 90% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 41%
Based on eventual number of wins
(37%) 10W: 36.76 (32.36-41.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(31%) 9W: 31.05 (26.61-37.27) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(20%) 8W: 25.91 (20.66-32.88) 100% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 85%
( 9%) 7W: 21.12 (15.56-27.78) 100% in, 99% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#9), bye 19%
( 2%) 6W: 17.34 (11.22-23.65) 100% in, 80% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-#12), Berea-Midpark (2-1) 20%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(37%) WWWWWWW: 36.76 (32.36-41.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(10%) WWWWWWL: 31.21 (26.66-35.95) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 8%) WLWWWWW: 31.21 (26.96-35.60) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(11%) WWWWLWW: 30.80 (26.61-34.64) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 8%) WWWWLWL: 25.76 (20.91-29.65) 100% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 84%
( 6%) WLWWLWW: 25.51 (20.66-30.51) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 80%
( 6%) WLWWLWL: 20.56 (15.56-24.60) 100% in, 99% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Stow-Munroe Falls (2-1) 16%
( 1%) LLWWLWL: 16.17 (11.22-20.42) 100% in, 75% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#10), Berea-Midpark (2-1) 22%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 167.8, #22, D1 #11), likely in and likely home, 87% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 166.3, #24, D1 #11), likely in and likely home, 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 158.1, #39, D1 #20), 98% (bubble if 3-7), 85% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 154.3, #41, D1 #19), 92% (bubble if 3-7), 74% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 157.5