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Rankings
#14 of 79 in Division 1
#5 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #35 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D1 (+253 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 24-19 A #24 Austintown-Fitch (5-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 173
08/28 W 55-35 A #52 Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 6 (62%), perf. rating 183
09/04 W 54-13 H #392 St Vincent-St Mary (1-6) D3 R10, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 155
09/11 W 42-7 H #157 North Royalton (3-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (96%), perf. rating 179
09/18 L 23-9 A #37 Nordonia (6-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 11 (75%), perf. rating 140
09/25 W 38-3 A #272 Solon (3-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 167
10/02 W 41-7 H #240 Medina (1-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 165
10/09 A #26 Wadsworth (7-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/16 H #249 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 H #25 Highland (Medina) (6-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
27.47 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 68% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 32.57 (24.25-35.60) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
Lose: 22.99 (18.60-29.85) 100% in, 99% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 43%
Based on eventual number of wins
(29%) 9W: 33.18 (30.75-35.60) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(40%) 8W: 27.47 (25.45-32.58) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 95%
(30%) 7W: 22.33 (19.96-27.53) 100% in, 99% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Euclid (3-4) 34%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(29%) WWW: 33.18 (30.75-35.60) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(16%) WWL: 27.58 (25.61-30.05) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
(24%) LWW: 27.42 (25.45-29.85) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 94%
(30%) LWL: 22.33 (19.96-24.30) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Euclid (3-4) 35%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 162.6, #27, D1 #14), appears locked in and likely home, 68% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 162.0, #28, D1 #14), appears locked in and likely home, 63% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 161.2, #33, D1 #15), appears locked in and likely home, 56% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 169.6, #21, D1 #11), appears locked in and likely home, 90% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 167.8, #22, D1 #11), likely in and likely home, 87% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 166.3, #24, D1 #11), likely in and likely home, 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 158.1, #39, D1 #20), 98% (bubble if 3-7), 85% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 154.3, #41, D1 #19), 92% (bubble if 3-7), 74% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 157.5