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Rankings
#12 of 100 in Division 2
#5 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #35 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D2 (+277 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 49-7 A #418 St Vincent-St Mary (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 31 (92%), perf. rating 156
08/28 W 46-12 H #230 East (Akron) (7-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 28 (92%), perf. rating 167
09/04 W 41-39 H #59 Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 150
09/11 L 23-21 A #27 Highland (Medina) (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 7 (34%), perf. rating 162
09/18 W 23-9 H #30 Hudson (6-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 11 (25%), perf. rating 181
09/25 W 34-25 H #198 North Royalton (3-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 135
10/02 W 44-14 A #284 Solon (3-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 158
10/09 W 45-14 A #256 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 33 (99%), perf. rating 163
10/16 H #229 Medina (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #29 Wadsworth (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
27.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 81% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.10 (25.70-35.05) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 82%
Lose: 25.50 (23.70-32.60) 100% home, 36% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#6), bye 36%
Based on eventual number of wins
(32%) 9W: 33.80 (31.55-35.05) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(67%) 8W: 27.55 (25.70-32.60) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 73%
( 2%) 7W: 25.00 (23.70-26.25) 100% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 37%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(32%) WW: 33.80 (31.55-35.05) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(66%) WL: 27.55 (25.70-29.05) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 73%
( 2%) LL: 25.00 (23.70-26.25) 100% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 37%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 158.7, #37, D2 #12), appears locked in and home, 89% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 158.6, #36, D2 #12), appears locked in and home, 85% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 162.8, #29, D2 #12), appears locked in and home, 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 156.8, #46, D2 #16), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 155.2, #46, D2 #17), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 54% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 152.9, #53, D2 #18), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (likely needs 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 149.7, #55, D2 #17), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 144.6, #76, D2 #23), 73% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 141.3