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Rankings
#13 of 100 in Division 2
#6 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #31 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #55 Perkins (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 2 (54%)
08/28 H #50 Taft (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 5 (60%)
09/04 A #76 Nordonia (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 9 (69%)
09/11 H #87 DeSales (Columbus) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 15 (81%)
09/18 H #198 Garfield Heights (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 H #330 St Vincent-St Mary (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/02 H #111 Bishop Hartley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/09 A #310 Youngstown (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/16 H #117 Benedictine (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 A #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
23.16 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#3 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
85% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 45% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.21 ( 2.23-42.09) 97% in, 90% home, 67% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 69%
Lose: 16.08 ( 0.00-35.36) 71% in, 49% home, 19% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 27%
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 10W: 31.68 (21.32-42.09) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 97%
(21%) 9W: 27.26 (16.85-37.73) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 81%
(17%) 8W: 23.16 (14.34-33.06) 99% in, 97% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 45%
(13%) 7W: 19.26 (10.39-29.42) 99% in, 78% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
(10%) 6W: 15.31 ( 7.16-27.27) 91% in, 38% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Glenville (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 12.08 ( 5.89-21.41) 61% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Glenville (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 4W: 8.79 ( 3.48-20.65) 22% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Nordonia (0-0) 13%
( 3%) 3W: 6.13 ( 1.80-13.56) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 2W: 3.93 ( 1.15- 9.76) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.68 ( 0.55- 5.65) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 3%
Brush (0-0) 3%
Nordonia (0-0) 3%
Boardman (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Glenville (0-0) 13%
Wadsworth (0-0) 11%
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 10%
Highland (Medina) (0-0) 10%
Walsh Jesuit (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 129.4, #154, D2 #44), 72% (bubble if 5-5), 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 154.6