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Rankings
#5 of 102 in Division 3
#1 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #1 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D3 (+489 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-14 H #79 Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 16 (77%), perf. rating 171
08/28 W 44-14 H #81 Dover (6-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 184
09/04 W 48-7 H Linsly WV (3-3) D5
09/11 W 21-16 A #54 Cardinal Mooney (5-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 161
09/18 L 41-13 A #35 Indian Valley (7-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 118
09/25 W 37-14 H #231 Wheelersburg (5-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (94%), perf. rating 151
10/01 L 44-40 A #42 Ursuline (5-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 8 (30%), perf. rating 151
10/09 W 35-8 H Buffalo Health Sci. NY (3-3) D3
10/16 H #45 DeSales (Columbus) (6-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 H Washington Digital Pioneers Academy DC (5-2) D5
Regular season projections
7-3 record
27.63 Harbin points (divisor 93)
#2 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 30.39 (26.34-33.24) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
Lose: 25.44 (21.28-28.28) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
Based on eventual number of wins
(28%) 8W: 31.57 (28.99-33.24) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(50%) 7W: 27.63 (24.04-30.37) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(22%) 6W: 23.75 (21.28-25.42) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(28%) WW: 31.57 (28.99-33.24) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(25%) WL: 28.70 (26.34-30.37) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(25%) LW: 26.62 (24.04-28.28) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(22%) LL: 23.75 (21.28-25.42) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 153.9, #45, D3 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 87% bye (likely needs 6-4), proj. #2 at 7-3
Week 6 (5-1, 155.5, #46, D3 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 5-5), proj. #2 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 154.2, #49, D3 #4), likely in, 98% home, 78% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #2 at 7-3
Week 4 (4-0, 161.5, #30, D3 #1), likely in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 158.2, #39, D3 #1), likely in, 84% home (maybe if 5-5), 52% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 161.8, #34, D3 #1), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 4-6), 71% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 154.3, #43, D3 #2), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 64% home (maybe if 5-5), 35% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #4 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 149.9, #56, D3 #5), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 5-5), 27% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 148.0