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Rankings
#35 of 104 in Division 3
#10 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #29 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #217 GlenOak (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 A #56 Steubenville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 26 (10%)
09/04 H #161 Louisville (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 4 (41%)
09/11 A #103 Lexington (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 18 (14%)
09/18 H #79 Ashland (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 A #206 West Holmes (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/02 H #464 Wooster (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/09 H #350 Madison (Mansfield) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/16 A #440 Mansfield Senior (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/23 A #200 New Philadelphia (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
39% (bubble if 6-4), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.40 ( 0.65-33.10) 53% in, 30% home, 12% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 22%
Lose: 6.00 ( 0.00-27.50) 18% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 25.88 (21.45-33.10) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 94%
( 6%) 9W: 22.80 (16.65-29.80) 100% in, 99% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 62%
( 9%) 8W: 18.75 (12.10-26.40) 99% in, 79% home, 14% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 14%
(12%) 7W: 15.25 ( 8.45-23.75) 91% in, 34% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(14%) 6W: 12.10 ( 7.20-20.50) 53% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(15%) 5W: 9.20 ( 5.05-16.05) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Athens (0-0) 12%
(14%) 4W: 6.75 ( 2.90-12.30) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(12%) 3W: 4.45 ( 2.10-11.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 2W: 2.35 ( 1.15- 8.15) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.55- 4.95) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Athens (0-0) 7%
East (Columbus) (0-0) 6%
Linden McKinley (0-0) 5%
Sheridan (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Licking Valley (0-0) 13%
Tri-Valley (0-0) 13%
Jackson (0-0) 12%
Steubenville (0-0) 8%
Linden McKinley (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 70.8, #552, D3 #93), 17% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 117.2