Region 11 home page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 11 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#12 of 104 in Division 3
#4 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #48 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D3 (+413 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-13 H #180 Sheridan (2-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 145
08/28 W 40-7 A #398 Amanda-Clearcreek (0-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 34 (96%), perf. rating 146
09/04 W 21-20 H #130 Teays Valley (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 11 (73%), perf. rating 133
09/11 A #648 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/18 H #148 Johnstown (2-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/25 H #244 Watkins Memorial (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/02 A #356 Mount Vernon (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/09 A #384 Licking Heights (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/16 H #84 Granville (2-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 A #340 Zanesville (2-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
25.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 75% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.50 ( 8.15-34.50) 99% in, 96% home, 76% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 76%
Lose: 21.80 ( 8.15-32.90) 99% in, 81% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 39%
Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 10W: 30.20 (25.05-34.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(35%) 9W: 25.70 (19.70-32.90) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 87%
(17%) 8W: 21.75 (15.65-28.95) 100% in, 99% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 32%
( 6%) 7W: 18.30 (12.50-25.60) 100% in, 74% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Athens (2-1) 15%
( 2%) 6W: 15.58 (11.35-21.20) 96% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Athens (2-1) 15%
( 1%) 5W: 13.12 ( 8.15-17.05) 84% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Athens (2-1) 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WWWWWWW: 30.20 (25.05-34.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) WWLWWWW: 26.60 (21.40-30.55) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 6%) WLWWWWW: 26.10 (21.70-29.75) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 97%
(24%) WWWWWLW: 25.35 (19.70-30.20) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 83%
( 2%) WWWWWLL: 21.90 (17.80-25.55) 100% in, 98% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 32%
( 3%) WWLWWLW: 21.75 (17.40-25.65) 100% in, 99% home, 30% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 30%
( 9%) WLWWWLW: 21.25 (15.65-25.90) 100% in, 98% home, 22% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 22%
( 2%) WLLWWLW: 17.45 (12.65-21.25) 100% in, 66% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Athens (2-1) 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 140.1, #91, D3 #12), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 75% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 141.7, #86, D3 #10), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 69% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 142.9, #83, D3 #10), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 74% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 142.5, #85, D3 #9), 91% (bubble if 6-4), 80% home (maybe if 7-3), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 144.5