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Rankings
#21 of 101 in Division 4
#3 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #27 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 7 (63%)
08/28 A #283 Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 8 (66%)
09/04 H #354 River Valley (Caled.) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 20 (87%)
09/11 A #385 Licking Heights (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 20 (88%)
09/18 A #111 Bishop Hartley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 H #338 Franklin Heights (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/02 A #262 Bishop Ready (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/09 A #211 Columbus Academy (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 H #418 Whitehall-Yearling (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 H #509 Bexley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
17.69 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
73% (bubble if 5-5), 57% home (maybe if 6-4), 35% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.06 ( 0.65-37.77) 87% in, 73% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 10.73 ( 0.00-32.27) 49% in, 31% home, 12% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 27.92 (18.78-37.77) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(15%) 9W: 24.57 (14.65-34.09) 100% in, 99% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 88%
(16%) 8W: 21.07 (12.08-30.51) 99% in, 97% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 59%
(14%) 7W: 17.69 ( 9.61-30.62) 99% in, 80% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
(13%) 6W: 14.46 ( 5.98-22.79) 89% in, 44% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 7%
(10%) 5W: 11.44 ( 3.76-19.42) 59% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 4W: 8.66 ( 3.41-17.76) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 3W: 6.04 ( 1.75-12.16) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 4%) 2W: 3.80 ( 1.00- 9.03) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.61 ( 0.45- 5.40) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 4%
Indian Creek (0-0) 4%
Union Local (0-0) 4%
West Muskingum (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Indian Valley (0-0) 10%
New Lexington (0-0) 10%
St Clairsville (0-0) 8%
Johnstown (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 112.9, #262, D4 #33), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 48% home (maybe if 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 125.0