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Rankings
#2 of 101 in Division 4
#1 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #20 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #71 Green (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 15 (75%)
08/28 H #261 Buchtel (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 36 (96%)
09/04 A #200 New Philadelphia (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 30 (95%)
09/18 H #56 Steubenville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/25 A #215 Ridgewood (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/02 H #558 Tuscarawas Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #135 Garaway (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/16 H #578 Sandy Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #420 Claymont (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 43 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-1 record
24.78 Harbin points (divisor 90)
#2 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 4-5), 93% home (maybe if 5-4), 79% bye (maybe if 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.61 ( 4.56-39.11) 99% in, 98% home, 90% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 90%
Lose: 19.28 ( 0.00-30.78) 92% in, 77% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 51%
Based on eventual number of wins
(40%) 9W: 28.72 (17.39-39.11) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 99%
(29%) 8W: 24.78 (15.06-36.28) 100% in, 99% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#10), bye 93%
(16%) 7W: 20.83 (13.56-29.94) 99% in, 98% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 65%
( 8%) 6W: 17.00 ( 9.94-25.44) 99% in, 81% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 19%
( 4%) 5W: 13.28 ( 7.67-20.22) 86% in, 32% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
( 2%) 4W: 9.94 ( 5.22-15.44) 41% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
( 1%) 3W: 6.50 ( 2.11-12.28) 7% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 1%
Indian Creek (0-0) 1%
Union Local (0-0) 1%
Fairfield Union (0-0) 1%
Most likely second round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 8%
West Holmes (0-0) 7%
Johnstown (0-0) 7%
Heath (0-0) 6%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 103.8, #329, D4 #47), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 44% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 162.9