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Rankings
#2 of 100 in Division 2
#1 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #7 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D2 (+617 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-0 A #159 Anthony Wayne (1-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 40 (97%), perf. rating 182
08/28 W 28-0 H #86 Pickerington Central (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 37 (97%), perf. rating 181
09/05 W 41-10 A #45 Ursuline (1-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 204
09/11 H #8 Glenville (2-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 13 (78%)
09/18 H #131 Harvest Prep (0-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/25 H #31 DeSales (Columbus) (3-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/09 A #399 Bishop Hartley (1-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 A #1 Walsh Jesuit (3-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/23 H #213 St Charles (3-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 47 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-1 record
33.01 Harbin points (divisor 88)
#2 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 95% bye (likely needs 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 34.09 (20.37-45.10) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 99%
Lose: 27.40 (11.02-37.95) 99% in, 99% home, 80% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 80%
Based on eventual number of wins
(28%) 9W: 38.79 (31.86-45.10) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(49%) 8W: 33.01 (25.79-40.45) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(20%) 7W: 27.46 (21.15-36.20) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 88%
( 3%) 6W: 21.68 (16.22-29.51) 100% in, 94% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 20%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(28%) WWWWWW: 38.79 (31.86-45.10) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) LWWWWW: 33.09 (26.87-37.95) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(44%) WWWWLW: 33.01 (26.13-39.32) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WWLWWW: 32.72 (25.79-38.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 1%) WWWLLW: 31.60 (26.15-36.20) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(15%) LWWWLW: 27.40 (21.15-33.76) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 88%
( 4%) WWLWLW: 27.11 (21.32-31.43) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 80%
( 3%) LWLWLW: 21.33 (16.22-25.71) 100% in, 93% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#11), bye 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 191.0, #2, D2 #2), likely in and likely home, 95% bye (likely needs 7-2), proj. #2 at 8-1
Week 2 (2-0, 187.2, #2, D2 #2), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-4), 80% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #2 at 8-1
Week 1 (1-0, 191.6, #2, D2 #2), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-4), 86% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #1 at 8-1
Week 0 (0-0, 192.4, #2, D2 #2), 98% (bubble if 4-5), 94% home (maybe if 5-4), 84% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #1 at 8-1
Last season 196.2