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Rankings
#1 of 107 in Division 3
#1 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #5 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D3 (+680 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 37-15 H #37 Big Walnut (3-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 188
08/30 W 14-13 N Middletown DE (0-3) D2
09/05 W 38-0 A #127 Westerville North (1-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 35 (97%), perf. rating 195
09/12 W 81-7 H #156 Tiffin Columbian (1-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 191
09/19 H #58 Harvest Prep (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/26 A #77 DeSales (Columbus) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/10 H #110 Bishop Hartley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/17 A #383 Northwest (Cincy) (1-3) D2 R8, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 A #235 St Charles (2-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 44 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-0 record
35.95 Harbin points (divisor 86)
#1 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 35.89 (24.73-40.89) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Lose: 32.31 (22.31-37.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Based on eventual number of wins
(91%) 9W: 35.95 (28.16-40.89) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 9%) 8W: 31.91 (24.76-37.55) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(91%) WWWWW: 35.95 (28.16-40.89) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 3%) LWWWW: 32.37 (26.09-37.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WWLWW: 32.03 (28.54-35.57) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) WLWWW: 31.10 (24.76-34.53) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 185.3, #4, D3 #1), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-0
Week 3 (3-0, 182.4, #5, D3 #1), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-0
Week 2 (2-0, 178.0, #8, D3 #1), likely in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-0
Week 1 (1-0, 178.2, #8, D3 #2), likely in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #1 at 8-1
Week 0 (0-0, 176.9, #9, D3 #1), 98% (bubble if 4-5), 94% home (maybe if 5-4), 83% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #1 at 8-1
Last season 183.0