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Rankings
#22 of 108 in Division 6
#6 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #73 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D6 (+142 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 49-7 A #555 Pymatuning Valley (3-5) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 134
08/28 W 31-28 A #270 United (6-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 120
09/04 W 31-14 H #422 Crestwood (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 114
09/11 W 27-7 H #370 Springfield (New Midd.) (5-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 127
09/18 W 45-7 A #651 Jackson-Milton (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 101
09/25 W 53-14 A #677 Waterloo (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 90
10/02 W 53-20 H #506 Lowellville (4-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 126
10/09 W 59-14 H #560 Campbell Memorial (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 130
10/16 H #585 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 A #305 McDonald (8-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
21.63 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 89% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.22 (16.78-22.18) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
Lose: 16.69 (15.47-20.77) 100% in, 99% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#9), bye 50%
Based on eventual number of wins
(60%) 10W: 21.63 (20.47-22.18) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(39%) 9W: 17.95 (16.78-20.77) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 75%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(60%) WW: 21.63 (20.47-22.18) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(39%) WL: 17.95 (16.78-18.85) 100% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 74%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 114.6, #254, D6 #23), appears locked in and likely home, 75% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 112.2, #276, D6 #24), appears locked in and likely home, 68% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 113.8, #264, D6 #22), appears locked in and likely home, 62% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 119.4, #222, D6 #16), appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 114.7, #259, D6 #21), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 51% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 112.3, #279, D6 #24), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 44% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 110.2, #284, D6 #26), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 44% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 92.0, #427, D6 #48), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 7-3), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 96.6