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Rankings
#26 of 105 in Division 5
#6 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #79 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #369 Beaver Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 12 (71%)
08/28 H #419 Lakeview (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 22 (87%)
09/04 H #375 United (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 17 (83%)
09/11 H #332 Liberty (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 A #590 Southeast (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 H #491 Brookfield (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/02 A #678 Newton Falls (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #634 Champion (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/16 H #282 Garfield (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/23 A #512 LaBrae (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.16 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
87% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.16 ( 1.76-30.21) 95% in, 84% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 12.90 ( 0.00-24.71) 67% in, 43% home, 14% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(26%) 10W: 23.39 (17.23-30.21) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 93%
(24%) 9W: 20.16 (13.70-26.78) 100% in, 99% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 55%
(17%) 8W: 16.94 (11.43-23.25) 99% in, 87% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 16%
(12%) 7W: 14.11 ( 8.61-19.82) 96% in, 50% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Liberty (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 6W: 11.34 ( 6.44-17.65) 74% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Liberty (0-0) 10%
( 6%) 5W: 8.82 ( 5.03-13.97) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Garfield (0-0) 11%
( 4%) 4W: 6.50 ( 3.22-11.95) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.26 ( 2.01- 9.03) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.42 ( 1.20- 7.36) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 5%
Berkshire (0-0) 4%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 4%
Garfield (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Barnesville (0-0) 12%
Girard (0-0) 11%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Garfield (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 72.4, #543, D5 #81), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 117.5