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Rankings
#26 of 105 in Division 5
#6 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #79 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #369 Beaver Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 12 (71%)
08/28 H #419 Lakeview (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 22 (87%)
09/04 H #375 United (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 17 (83%)
09/11 H #332 Liberty (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 A #590 Southeast (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 H #491 Brookfield (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/02 A #677 Newton Falls (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #634 Champion (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/16 H #282 Garfield (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/23 A #512 LaBrae (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.16 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
87% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.16 ( 1.35-29.05) 95% in, 83% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 13.05 ( 0.00-26.22) 68% in, 44% home, 15% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
(27%) 10W: 23.44 (17.58-29.05) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 92%
(24%) 9W: 20.16 (14.56-26.37) 100% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 57%
(17%) 8W: 17.09 (11.23-22.39) 99% in, 88% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 17%
(12%) 7W: 14.06 ( 8.76-20.37) 97% in, 48% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Berkshire (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 6W: 11.24 ( 6.29-17.60) 72% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Liberty (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 5W: 8.87 ( 5.28-14.47) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Garfield (0-0) 13%
( 3%) 4W: 6.45 ( 3.22-11.30) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.43 ( 1.96- 8.93) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.57 ( 0.85- 6.30) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 5%
Berkshire (0-0) 4%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 4%
Girard (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Girard (0-0) 11%
Barnesville (0-0) 11%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Garfield (0-0) 9%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 72.3, #543, D5 #81), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 117.5