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Rankings
#14 of 108 in Division 6
#3 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #44 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D6 (+113 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-14 A #377 Tuslaw (2-6) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 110
08/28 W 59-15 H #495 Northmor (1-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 12 (73%), perf. rating 141
09/04 W 42-12 A #531 Black River (1-7) D6 R21, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 121
09/11 W 46-13 H #569 Waynedale (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 114
09/18 W 28-14 H #243 Hillsdale (7-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (73%), perf. rating 135
09/25 W 34-0 A #562 Northwestern (W. Salem) (2-6) D6 R21, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 121
10/02 W 41-0 H #502 Rittman (3-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 139
10/09 L 31-25 A #245 Norwayne (5-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 11 (77%), perf. rating 109
10/16 H #442 Chippewa (6-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/23 A #342 Dalton (2-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 15 (84%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
17.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 11% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.90 (14.05-18.65) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Wickliffe (7-1) 22%
Lose: 14.05 (11.30-15.65) 99% in, 53% home, proj. #8 (#6-out), Columbiana (6-2) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
(82%) 9W: 17.20 (15.50-18.65) 100% in, 99% home, 14% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Chippewa (6-2) 24%
(17%) 8W: 15.50 (13.25-17.00) 100% in, 97% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Wickliffe (7-1) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(82%) WW: 17.20 (15.50-18.65) 100% in, 99% home, 14% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Chippewa (6-2) 24%
(15%) WL: 15.65 (14.05-17.00) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Wickliffe (7-1) 29%
( 2%) LW: 14.50 (13.25-15.65) 100% in, 77% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Columbiana (6-2) 37%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 123.9, #195, D6 #12), appears locked in and likely home, 46% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 122.0, #205, D6 #13), likely in and likely home, 49% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 122.4, #203, D6 #14), likely in and likely home, 62% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 121.8, #203, D6 #12), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 7-3), 55% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 126.3, #170, D6 #12), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 57% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 119.1, #227, D6 #16), 95% (bubble if 6-4), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 44% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 110.6, #281, D6 #25), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 31% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 105.6, #311, D6 #27), 66% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 21% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 110.0