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Rankings
#13 of 108 in Division 6
#4 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #39 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D6 (+192 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-14 A #368 Tuslaw (2-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 112
08/28 W 59-15 H #480 Northmor (1-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 12 (73%), perf. rating 143
09/04 W 42-12 A #500 Black River (1-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 126
09/11 W 46-13 H #610 Waynedale (1-5) D5 R18, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 105
09/18 W 28-14 H #254 Hillsdale (5-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (73%), perf. rating 134
09/25 W 34-0 A #515 Northwestern (W. Salem) (2-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 130
10/02 H #495 Rittman (3-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/09 A #294 Norwayne (3-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/16 H #468 Chippewa (4-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #317 Dalton (2-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 14 (82%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
20.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 49% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.90 (12.25-23.40) 99% in, 99% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 49%
Based on eventual number of wins
(59%) 10W: 20.65 (18.55-23.40) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 72%
(32%) 9W: 18.20 (16.00-20.95) 100% home, 21% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 21%
( 9%) 8W: 15.95 (14.05-18.95) 100% in, 92% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Columbiana (4-2) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(59%) WWWW: 20.65 (18.55-23.40) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 72%
(12%) WWWL: 18.40 (16.55-20.95) 100% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 24%
(18%) WLWW: 18.10 (16.00-20.90) 100% home, 19% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), Grand Valley (4-2) 22%
( 8%) WLWL: 16.00 (14.15-18.95) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Columbiana (4-2) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (6-0, 122.0, #205, D6 #13), likely in and likely home, 49% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 122.4, #203, D6 #14), likely in and likely home, 62% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 121.8, #203, D6 #12), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 7-3), 55% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 126.3, #170, D6 #12), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 57% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 119.1, #227, D6 #16), 95% (bubble if 6-4), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 44% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 110.6, #281, D6 #25), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 31% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 105.6, #311, D6 #27), 66% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 21% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 110.0