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Rankings
#40 of 102 in Division 4
#11 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #96 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D4 (-37 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 34-0 A #537 Warren (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 126
08/28 W 40-21 A #451 St Clairsville (2-5) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (58%), perf. rating 117
09/04 W 48-7 H #507 Indian Creek (4-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 36 (98%), perf. rating 138
09/11 W 48-7 H #621 Harrison Central (1-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 113
09/17 W 24-13 H Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (3-3) D6
09/25 L 45-20 A #189 Martins Ferry (7-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 89
10/02 W 55-7 H #611 Cambridge (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 117
10/09 H #635 Buckeye Local (0-7) D5 R17, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/17 A #482 Bellaire (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 A #99 Barnesville (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
14.91 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#10 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 7-3), 17% home (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.86 (10.52-21.27) 89% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 9W: 19.05 (17.53-21.27) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Marion-Franklin (3-4) 17%
(88%) 8W: 14.91 (13.50-19.05) 94% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 15%
( 8%) 7W: 11.99 (10.52-16.13) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WWW: 19.05 (17.53-21.27) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Marion-Franklin (3-4) 17%
(88%) WWL: 14.91 (13.50-17.69) 94% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 16%
( 7%) WLL: 11.94 (10.52-13.86) 22% in, proj. out (#9-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 110.4, #290, D4 #40), 89% (bubble if 7-3), 17% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 110.7, #288, D4 #39), 92% (bubble if 7-3), 24% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 120.3, #215, D4 #29), 92% (bubble if 7-3), 60% home (likely needs 9-1), 20% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 122.8, #196, D4 #24), 92% (bubble if 7-3), 61% home (maybe if 8-2), 18% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 123.1, #196, D4 #24), 93% (bubble if 7-3), 70% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 124.7, #185, D4 #21), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 73% home (maybe if 8-2), 19% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 114.8, #249, D4 #31), 80% (bubble if 6-4), 55% home (maybe if 7-3), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 108.1, #291, D4 #37), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 44% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 107.7