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Rankings
#87 of 100 in Division 2
#23 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #47 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D2 (-560 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 49-21 H #288 Athens (2-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 25 (13%), perf. rating 66
08/28 L 48-6 A #208 Nelsonville-York (3-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 61
09/04 W 17-6 H #507 Warren (1-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 15 (20%), perf. rating 93
09/11 H #86 Pickerington Central (0-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/18 A #313 Newark (2-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/25 A #160 Reynoldsburg (1-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/02 H #266 Lancaster (0-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/09 A #107 Canal Winchester (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/16 A #162 Groveport Madison (2-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 H #130 Teays Valley (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
2.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.68 ( 1.65-20.95) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out)
Lose: 2.45 ( 1.00-17.75) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 3W: 6.70 ( 3.60-11.50) out, proj. out
(14%) 2W: 4.35 ( 1.65- 9.10) out, proj. out
(83%) 1W: 2.35 ( 1.00- 4.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 5.82 ( 2.55- 9.10) out
( 1%) LWLWLLL: 5.70 ( 4.20- 7.60) out
( 2%) LLLLLLW: 5.25 ( 2.15- 8.50) out
( 1%) LLLLLWL: 5.15 ( 3.15- 8.30) out
( 1%) WLLLLLL: 5.10 ( 1.65- 7.55) out
( 4%) LWLLLLL: 4.35 ( 2.90- 7.45) out
( 4%) LLLWLLL: 3.25 ( 1.65- 6.35) out
(83%) LLLLLLL: 2.35 ( 1.00- 4.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (1-2, 79.8, #500, D2 #87), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 70.7, #557, D2 #91), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 74.5, #531, D2 #91), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 78.1, #507, D2 #89), 2% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 73.3