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Rankings
#91 of 104 in Division 2
#25 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #52 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D2 (-720 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 41-0 A #250 Athens (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 13 (28%), perf. rating 56
08/29 L 46-7 H #248 Nelsonville-York (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 56
09/05 L 27-21 A #411 Warren (1-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 18 (16%), perf. rating 87
09/12 L 64-7 A #25 Pickerington Central (3-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 104
09/19 H #278 Newark (2-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/26 H #322 Reynoldsburg (0-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/03 A #269 Lancaster (1-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/10 H #54 Canal Winchester (4-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/17 H #130 Groveport Madison (1-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/24 A #135 Teays Valley (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.45 ( 1.80- 9.45) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-12.65) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 2W: 3.75 ( 2.60-10.05) out, proj. out
(15%) 1W: 1.80 ( 0.65- 6.35) out, proj. out
(82%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLLLLL: 2.45 ( 1.80- 4.30) out
( 2%) LLWLLL: 1.95 ( 1.30- 3.25) out
( 7%) LWLLLL: 0.65 ( 0.65- 2.60) out
(82%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 80.8, #488, D2 #91), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 76.4, #523, D2 #93), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 73.4, #547, D2 #92), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 80.1, #516, D2 #91), 2% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 94.1, #414, D2 #83), 20% (bubble if 4-6), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 94.7