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Rankings
#85 of 100 in Division 2
#22 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #41 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D2 (-586 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 49-21 H #274 Athens (5-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 25 (13%), perf. rating 69
08/28 L 48-6 A #226 Nelsonville-York (6-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 59
09/04 W 17-6 H #531 Warren (2-4) D3 R11, pick: L by 15 (20%), perf. rating 89
09/11 L 55-6 H #70 Pickerington Central (3-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 81
09/18 L 59-33 A #311 Newark (3-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 71
09/25 L 41-7 A #130 Reynoldsburg (3-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 85
10/02 H #248 Lancaster (1-5) D1 R3, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 A #86 Canal Winchester (3-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/16 A #126 Groveport Madison (5-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/23 H #181 Teays Valley (1-5) D2 R7, pick: L by 35 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
2.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.80 ( 2.80- 8.95) out, proj. out
Lose: 2.10 ( 1.55- 8.35) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 2W: 4.05 ( 2.70- 7.95) out, proj. out
(93%) 1W: 2.10 ( 1.55- 3.60) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWLL: 5.95 ( 4.05- 7.55) out
( 1%) LLLW: 3.90 ( 2.70- 5.75) out
( 3%) WLLL: 3.80 ( 2.80- 5.85) out
(93%) LLLL: 2.10 ( 1.55- 3.60) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (1-5, 78.2, #507, D2 #85), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (1-4, 76.9, #517, D2 #87), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (1-3, 78.3, #500, D2 #87), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (1-2, 79.8, #500, D2 #87), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 70.7, #557, D2 #91), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 74.5, #531, D2 #91), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 78.1, #507, D2 #89), 2% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 73.3