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Rankings
#40 of 104 in Division 7
#12 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #52 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #4 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #630 Chippewa (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 A #476 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 9 (33%)
09/04 H #539 Lowellville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 H #578 Sandy Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 13 (78%)
09/18 H #558 Tuscarawas Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (71%)
09/25 A #688 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/02 H #596 Buckeye Trail (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/09 A #540 Strasburg-Franklin (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/16 H #397 Newcomerstown (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/23 A #457 Malvern (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
8.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
62% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.15 ( 0.40-23.80) 68% in, 43% home, 15% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 22%
Lose: 4.25 ( 0.00-20.50) 29% in, 13% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 17.85 (12.65-23.80) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 89%
(11%) 9W: 15.00 ( 9.75-21.35) 100% in, 98% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 51%
(14%) 8W: 12.55 ( 7.25-18.20) 99% in, 87% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 16%
(15%) 7W: 10.20 ( 5.45-15.90) 97% in, 52% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 7%
(14%) 6W: 8.15 ( 4.00-13.50) 80% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 8%
(13%) 5W: 6.35 ( 2.75-12.20) 42% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 10%
(11%) 4W: 4.75 ( 1.55- 9.05) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 12%
( 9%) 3W: 3.30 ( 1.15- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 2W: 2.08 ( 0.75- 5.85) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 3%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.35- 3.55) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 6%
Malvern (0-0) 6%
Fairport Harding (0-0) 6%
W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
McDonald (0-0) 13%
Dalton (0-0) 12%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 11%
Mogadore (0-0) 10%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 77.0, #516, D7 #40), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 83.0