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Rankings
#36 of 103 in Division 7
#9 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #41 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #34 in D7 (-2 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 23-6 A #469 Chippewa (5-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 62
08/28 W 36-20 A #576 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-5) D7 R25, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 91
09/04 W 23-14 H #500 Lowellville (4-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 6 (63%), perf. rating 92
09/11 W 25-15 H #547 Sandy Valley (1-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 22 (90%), perf. rating 85
09/18 L 30-20 H #478 Tuscarawas Valley (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 67
09/25 W 39-14 A #675 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (3-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 72
10/02 W 34-0 H #654 Buckeye Trail (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 88
10/09 A #471 Strasburg-Franklin (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/16 H #319 Newcomerstown (5-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 A #630 Malvern (2-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
8.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 96% home (likely needs 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.50 ( 9.50-15.60) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 72%
Lose: 8.50 ( 6.50-12.70) 99% in, 94% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-out), St Paul (3-3) 36%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 14.50 (14.05-15.60) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
(30%) 7W: 11.50 (11.05-13.60) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 72%
(63%) 6W: 8.50 ( 8.05-11.00) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), St Paul (3-3) 40%
( 5%) 5W: 6.90 ( 6.50- 8.10) 99% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Monroeville (3-4) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWW: 14.50 (14.05-15.60) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
(27%) WLW: 11.50 (11.05-13.00) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 72%
( 3%) LWW: 11.50 (11.05-12.70) 100% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 74%
( 1%) WLL: 9.90 ( 9.50-11.00) 100% home, 14% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), Malvern (2-5) 26%
(62%) LLW: 8.50 ( 8.05-10.35) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), St Paul (3-3) 40%
( 5%) LLL: 6.90 ( 6.50- 8.10) 99% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Monroeville (3-4) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 78.7, #509, D7 #36), likely in, 96% home (likely needs 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 6 (4-2, 77.2, #513, D7 #38), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 19% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 78.3, #506, D7 #35), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 5-5), 21% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 81.7, #484, D7 #32), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 5-5), 47% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 83.1, #479, D7 #30), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 79.7, #494, D7 #35), 81% (bubble if 4-6), 58% home (maybe if 5-5), 27% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 60.7, #606, D7 #61), 27% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 77.0, #516, D7 #40), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 39% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 83.0