Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#329 Toronto Red Knights (7-0) 105.2

Updated Sun 04-Oct-2026 08:06 AM
Week 7 complete

Region 27 home page
Region 27 projections
Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 27 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#14 of 103 in Division 7
#3 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #31 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D7 (+570 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-0 A #680 Southern (Salineville) (1-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 38 (96%), perf. rating 79
08/28 W 27-20 A #319 Newcomerstown (5-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 119
09/04 W 7-6 H #330 Brookfield (5-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 105
09/11 W 33-6 H #582 Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (4-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 101
09/18 W 28-7 H Oak Glen WV (3-3) D5
09/25 W 40-25 H #474 Edison (Richmond) (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 105
10/02 W 29-28 A #359 Tuslaw (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 3 (58%), perf. rating 105
10/09 A #366 Monroe Central (4-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/16 A #635 Buckeye Local (0-7) D5 R17, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 H Cameron WV (4-1) D7

Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.30 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#3 seed in R27 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye

Depending on the next game
Win: 22.00 (17.72-25.44) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 19.58 (15.36-22.93) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%

Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 10W: 22.66 (19.67-25.44) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(47%) 9W: 20.30 (17.05-23.60) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(14%) 8W: 18.04 (15.36-21.86) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WWW: 22.66 (19.67-25.44) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(21%) WWL: 20.50 (17.72-23.34) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(26%) LWW: 20.20 (17.05-22.93) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(14%) LWL: 17.89 (15.36-20.52) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%

Most likely first round opponents
South Gallia (5-2) 1%

Most likely second round opponents
Conotton Valley (5-2) 20%
Eastern (Beaver) (4-3) 16%
Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 15%
Lucas (4-3) 12%
Strasburg-Franklin (5-2) 10%

Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 105.2, #329, D7 #14), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 104.5, #334, D7 #14), appears locked in and home, 92% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 103.1, #347, D7 #14), appears locked in and likely home, 87% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 102.8, #340, D7 #15), appears locked in and likely home, 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 106.3, #318, D7 #11), likely in and likely home, 90% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 104.3, #333, D7 #13), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 5-5), 69% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 103.3, #342, D7 #17), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 86% home (maybe if 5-5), 62% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 104.1, #324, D7 #12), 93% (bubble if 4-6), 80% home (maybe if 5-5), 54% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 107.1