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Rankings
#36 of 107 in Division 6
#9 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #86 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D6 (+40 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 34-0 H #621 Southern (Salineville) (1-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 19 (81%), perf. rating 105
08/29 W 34-6 A #581 Lowellville (1-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 16 (79%), perf. rating 109
09/05 W 49-19 A #677 Wellsville (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 45 (99%), perf. rating 80
09/12 W 26-16 H #442 Newcomerstown (2-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 100
09/19 A Oak Glen WV (3-0) D5
09/25 A #335 Edison (Richmond) (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 7 (33%)
10/03 H #359 Tuslaw (2-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/10 H #559 Monroe Central (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/17 H #623 Buckeye Local (1-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/24 A Brownsville PA (0-3) D5
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.56 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#9 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 7-3), 39% home (maybe if 9-1), 9% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.33 ( 8.83-23.18) 97% in, 58% home, 16% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 17%
Lose: 11.92 ( 6.13-18.75) 58% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 10W: 18.79 (14.00-23.18) 100% in, 99% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 58%
(28%) 9W: 15.79 (12.17-20.84) 99% in, 71% home, 11% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 12%
(37%) 8W: 13.56 ( 8.30-19.48) 88% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%
(21%) 7W: 10.96 ( 7.34-15.56) 39% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
( 4%) 6W: 9.34 ( 6.74-13.32) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WWWWWW: 18.79 (14.00-23.18) 100% in, 99% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 58%
( 5%) WWLWWW: 17.22 (13.50-20.84) 100% in, 92% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 27%
(13%) WLWWWW: 15.54 (12.32-19.57) 99% in, 67% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
( 8%) LWWWWW: 15.18 (12.17-18.75) 99% in, 58% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
(17%) WLLWWW: 14.07 (10.44-18.05) 97% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 17%
(10%) LLWWWW: 12.13 ( 8.30-15.65) 69% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 16%
(14%) LLLWWW: 10.56 ( 7.34-14.28) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Colonel Crawford (4-0) 14%
( 1%) LLLLWW: 8.93 ( 6.74-11.94) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Fort Frye (3-1) 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 99.4, #374, D6 #36), 79% (bubble if 7-3), 39% home (maybe if 9-1), 9% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 101.8, #366, D6 #36), 86% (bubble if 7-3), 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 18% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 106.2, #319, D6 #28), 87% (bubble if 7-3), 50% home (maybe if 9-1), 11% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #9 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 105.6, #315, D6 #24), 87% (bubble if 6-4), 61% home (maybe if 8-2), 21% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 97.2, #383, D6 #29), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 48% home (maybe if 7-3), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 97.2