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Rankings
#42 of 80 in Division 1
#10 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #68 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #58 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (48%)
08/28 H #229 Westerville Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 20 (84%)
09/04 H #315 St Charles (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 A #227 Dublin Scioto (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 16 (83%)
09/18 H #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 A #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/02 A #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/09 H #140 Westland (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/16 A #68 Harvest Prep (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/23 H #150 Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
16.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
71% (bubble if 4-6), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.95 ( 0.65-44.75) 89% in, 68% home, 31% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 35%
Lose: 11.20 ( 0.00-36.45) 54% in, 27% home, 6% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 33.50 (26.05-44.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(10%) 9W: 28.30 (18.80-36.90) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 80%
(13%) 8W: 24.20 (15.20-33.95) 100% in, 99% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 42%
(14%) 7W: 20.25 (12.45-29.15) 99% in, 85% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(14%) 6W: 16.50 (10.10-25.05) 98% in, 48% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(13%) 5W: 13.05 ( 6.35-20.75) 81% in, 11% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(11%) 4W: 9.95 ( 3.90-17.90) 42% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
( 8%) 3W: 6.90 ( 1.95-13.95) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
( 6%) 2W: 4.30 ( 1.30-10.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 4%) 1W: 1.90 ( 0.40- 6.45) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 6%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 6%
Olentangy (0-0) 6%
Newark (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 12%
Pickerington North (0-0) 11%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 134.0, #132, D1 #42), 71% (bubble if 4-6), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 136.7