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Rankings
#8 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #9 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #15 in D2 (+242 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 28-24 A Winter Garden W. Orange FL (6-1) D1
09/04 L 24-20 H Brooklyn Eagle Acad. NY (5-0) D3
09/11 L 17-14 A #6 St Edward (7-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 2 (44%), perf. rating 179
09/18 W 19-14 H Raleigh Cardinal Gibbons NC (5-2) D1
09/25 W 30-0 A #10 Walsh Jesuit (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 224
10/02 W 46-0 H #632 Woodward (Cincy) (2-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 110
10/09 L 26-0 H #15 Glenville (6-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 23 (93%), perf. rating 132
10/16 A Indy Cathedral IN (5-3) D2
Regular season projections
3-5 record
14.97 Harbin points (divisor 72)
#11 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 15% home (maybe if 4-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.88 (18.08-23.28) 100% in, 36% home, proj. #9 (#5-#10), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 66%
Lose: 14.97 (13.16-18.37) 100% in, proj. #10 (#9-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 44%
Based on eventual number of wins
(42%) 4W: 19.88 (18.08-23.28) 100% in, 36% home, proj. #9 (#5-#10), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 66%
(58%) 3W: 14.97 (13.16-18.37) 100% in, proj. #10 (#9-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 44%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(42%) W: 19.88 (18.08-23.28) 100% in, 36% home, proj. #9 (#5-#10), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 66%
(58%) L: 14.97 (13.16-18.37) 100% in, proj. #10 (#9-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 44%
Weekly summary info
Week 8 (3-4, 170.3, #18, D2 #8), appears locked in, 15% home (maybe if 4-4), proj. #11 at 3-5
Week 7 (3-3, 185.1, #3, D2 #2), likely in, 68% home (maybe if 4-4), 5% bye, proj. #9 at 4-4
Week 6 (2-3, 198.3, #1, D2 #1), likely in, 67% home (maybe if 4-4), 2% bye, proj. #9 at 4-4
Week 5 (1-3, 175.5, #15, D2 #8), 75% (likely needs 3-5), 11% home (maybe if 4-4), proj. #12 at 3-5
Week 4 (0-3, 176.5, #13, D2 #8), 21% (bubble if 3-5), 2% home (maybe if 4-4), proj. out at 2-6
Week 3 (0-2, 176.2, #13, D2 #8), 34% (bubble if 3-5), 10% home (maybe if 4-4), proj. out at 3-5
Week 2 (0-1, 176.3, #12, D2 #8), 44% (bubble if 4-4), 15% home (maybe if 5-3), 2% bye (maybe if 6-2), proj. out at 3-5
Week 1 (0-1, 176.3, #8, D2 #7), 50% (bubble if 3-5), 22% home (maybe if 4-4), 3% bye (maybe if 6-2), proj. out at 3-5
Week 0 (0-0, 176.3, #12, D2 #7), 76% (bubble if 3-5), 48% home (maybe if 4-4), 17% bye (maybe if 6-2), proj. #8 at 4-4
Last season 176.9