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Rankings
#57 of 105 in Division 5
#12 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #69 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #100 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 A #661 Thurgood Marshall (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 37 (96%)
08/28 A #170 Wyoming (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 29 (7%)
09/04 H #458 Meadowdale (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 8 (67%)
09/11 H #425 Hughes (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/18 A #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/25 H #510 Rock Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/02 H #685 New Miami (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/09 A #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/16 A #565 Shroder (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 H #312 Roger Bacon (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
64% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.35 ( 0.55-32.50) 65% in, 42% home, 19% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 5.15 ( 0.00-23.25) 25% in, 8% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.30 (15.45-32.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 6%) 9W: 20.65 (13.80-29.35) 100% in, 99% home, 87% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 87%
(12%) 8W: 17.25 ( 9.80-26.30) 99% in, 95% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 56%
(17%) 7W: 14.40 ( 7.65-22.85) 98% in, 75% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 23%
(18%) 6W: 11.85 ( 4.40-20.00) 86% in, 41% home, 4% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
(16%) 5W: 9.55 ( 3.35-16.80) 58% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 7.20 ( 2.80-14.05) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
(10%) 3W: 5.10 ( 1.65-10.75) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 5%) 2W: 3.05 ( 0.85- 7.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.35- 4.85) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Williamsburg (0-0) 5%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 5%
Greeneview (0-0) 4%
Miami East (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 10%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 109.5, #285, D5 #35), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 92.5