Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#54 of 106 in Division 5
#15 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #29 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D5 (-210 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 48-28 H #84 Tri-Valley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 39 (4%), perf. rating 112
08/29 L 51-21 A #124 Barnesville (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 94
09/05 W 46-14 H #614 Cambridge (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 29 (95%), perf. rating 103
09/12 L 39-33 A #410 Crooksville (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 87
09/19 H #291 Philo (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 15 (17%)
09/26 A #301 John Glenn (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 18 (13%)
10/03 A #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/10 H #148 New Lexington (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/17 H #474 Maysville (2-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/24 A #404 West Muskingum (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.10 ( 2.45-18.80) 21% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 16%
Lose: 4.25 ( 0.50-15.90) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 6W: 12.95 (10.65-16.60) 79% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 17%
(12%) 5W: 9.60 ( 7.65-13.30) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out), Nelsonville-York (4-0) 20%
(26%) 4W: 6.65 ( 5.20-11.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(33%) 3W: 4.25 ( 3.25- 7.75) out, proj. out
(19%) 2W: 2.05 ( 1.40- 4.95) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 0.50 ( 0.50- 2.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWLWW: 12.75 (10.65-15.70) 76% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 17%
( 5%) LWWLWW: 9.50 ( 7.65-11.90) 8% in, proj. out (#11-out), Nelsonville-York (4-0) 28%
( 5%) WLWLWW: 9.50 ( 7.65-12.25) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out), Columbus Academy (2-2) 26%
(17%) LLWLWW: 6.60 ( 5.25- 9.20) out
(24%) LLWLWL: 3.90 ( 3.40- 6.15) out
( 6%) LLLLWL: 2.45 ( 2.05- 3.90) out
(12%) LLWLLL: 1.85 ( 1.40- 4.60) out
( 5%) LLLLLL: 0.50 ( 0.50- 2.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 93.0, #414, D5 #54), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 98.4, #379, D5 #47), 22% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 90.7, #426, D5 #59), 13% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 91.8, #425, D5 #56), 12% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 85.3, #486, D5 #67), 10% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 88.8