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Rankings
#62 of 107 in Division 3
#19 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #70 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D3 (-362 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 21-19 A #225 Euclid (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 123
08/29 L 14-0 A #284 Shaker Heights (1-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 92
09/05 W 40-34 H #279 South (Willoughby) (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 118
09/12 L 14-13 H #288 Bedford (2-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 107
09/19 A #8 Archbishop Hoban (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 47 (1%)
09/26 H #272 Garfield Heights (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/03 A #545 Warrensville Heights (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/10 H #512 Shaw (1-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/17 H Erie PA (0-4) D1
10/24 H #403 Cleveland Central Cath. (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 15 (84%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
13.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
15% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.79 (11.03-25.06) 70% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out)
Lose: 12.74 ( 4.38-21.07) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Alliance (3-1) 16%
Based on eventual number of wins
(25%) 7W: 15.92 (12.38-21.07) 44% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Alliance (3-1) 15%
(42%) 6W: 13.00 ( 9.26-19.31) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Alliance (3-1) 17%
(25%) 5W: 10.63 ( 6.94-16.23) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 4W: 8.34 ( 5.38-13.16) out, proj. out
( 1%) 3W: 6.70 ( 4.38- 9.58) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(24%) LWWWWW: 15.87 (12.49-21.07) 44% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Alliance (3-1) 16%
(11%) LWWWLW: 14.71 (11.84-19.31) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Alliance (3-1) 18%
( 3%) LWWWWL: 13.20 (10.17-17.74) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out), Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) 22%
(26%) LLWWWW: 12.14 ( 9.26-17.14) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), Alliance (3-1) 15%
(12%) LLWWLW: 11.08 ( 8.61-15.38) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Gilmour Academy (1-3) 40%
( 9%) LLWWWL: 9.37 ( 6.94-13.10) out
( 3%) LLWWLL: 8.16 ( 6.29-11.29) out
( 1%) LLWLWL: 7.96 ( 5.48-12.75) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 108.1, #308, D3 #62), 15% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 108.2, #300, D3 #59), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 104.7, #327, D3 #64), 20% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 96.8, #384, D3 #74), 9% (bubble if 8-2), 2% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 93.5, #420, D3 #78), 14% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 93.3