Region 5 home page
Region 5 projections
Region 5 playoff probabilities
Region 5 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 5 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#51 of 104 in Division 2
#13 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #32 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #62 in D2 (-265 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 21-19 H #308 Brush (2-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 7 (63%), perf. rating 103
08/29 W 28-26 A #101 Berea-Midpark (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 39 (3%), perf. rating 145
09/05 L 33-20 A #162 Hilliard Darby (2-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 112
09/12 W 38-14 H #388 Lorain (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 10 (72%), perf. rating 131
09/19 A #93 Strongsville (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/26 H #284 Shaker Heights (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/03 A #188 Brunswick (1-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/11 A #154 Cleveland Heights (0-4) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/17 H #141 Medina (2-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/24 A #20 Mentor (4-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
7.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
28% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.15 ( 8.20-28.35) 83% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 16%
Lose: 8.65 ( 3.80-23.95) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 21.50 (20.25-24.55) 100% in, 93% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Twinsburg (4-0) 14%
( 6%) 6W: 16.95 (15.10-22.65) 99% in, 27% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 18%
(14%) 5W: 13.65 (11.25-18.30) 84% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) 18%
(26%) 4W: 10.55 ( 7.50-15.85) 32% in, proj. out (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 21%
(35%) 3W: 7.55 ( 5.60-13.25) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(18%) 2W: 5.60 ( 3.80- 8.10) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) LWWWWL: 16.35 (15.10-18.90) 99% in, 16% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 19%
( 5%) LWWLWL: 13.70 (11.85-16.30) 86% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Nordonia (4-0) 18%
( 4%) LWWWLL: 12.60 (11.25-15.70) 79% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 20%
( 7%) LWLLWL: 10.55 ( 8.70-13.75) 36% in, proj. out (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 26%
(10%) LWWLLL: 10.05 ( 8.15-13.75) 28% in, proj. out (#9-out), Nordonia (4-0) 19%
( 5%) LWLWLL: 9.90 ( 7.50-12.50) 17% in, proj. out (#10-out), Nordonia (4-0) 20%
(27%) LWLLLL: 7.45 ( 5.60-11.15) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 23%
(18%) LLLLLL: 5.60 ( 3.80- 8.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 118.4, #225, D2 #51), 28% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 115.3, #250, D2 #59), 25% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 112.1, #278, D2 #63), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 95.0, #404, D2 #81), 3% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 98.2, #371, D2 #76), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 95.5