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Rankings
#60 of 80 in Division 1
#13 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #64 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #306 Brush (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (64%)
08/28 H #88 Berea-Midpark (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 23 (12%)
09/04 A #152 St Johns Jesuit (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/11 A #290 Lorain (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/18 H #92 Strongsville (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 22 (8%)
09/25 A #307 Shaker Heights (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (69%)
10/02 H #155 Brunswick (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/09 H #133 Cleveland Heights (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/16 A #116 Riverside (Painesville) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/23 H #17 Mentor (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
53% (bubble if 3-7), 26% home (maybe if 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.90 ( 0.60-36.95) 68% in, 36% home, 10% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 14%
Lose: 2.55 ( 0.00-29.40) 25% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 31.10 (25.30-36.95) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) 9W: 26.05 (18.65-34.30) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
( 5%) 8W: 22.10 (15.75-28.60) 100% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 53%
( 7%) 7W: 18.25 (11.30-27.50) 100% in, 96% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 17%
( 9%) 6W: 14.75 ( 9.30-23.45) 99% in, 76% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), St Ignatius (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 11.40 ( 6.30-19.00) 97% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Hudson (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 8.60 ( 3.15-16.55) 80% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Strongsville (0-0) 10%
(15%) 3W: 6.00 ( 2.45-13.30) 41% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Hudson (0-0) 12%
(15%) 2W: 3.75 ( 1.20-10.40) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 12%
(14%) 1W: 1.90 ( 0.60- 6.35) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 9%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 7%
Strongsville (0-0) 7%
Hudson (0-0) 7%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 16%
St Edward (0-0) 15%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 14%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 116.0, #231, D1 #60), 53% (bubble if 3-7), 26% home (maybe if 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 3-7
Last season 123.5