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Rankings
#57 of 79 in Division 1
#11 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #67 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #62 in D1 (-347 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 14-6 A #276 Brush (4-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 126
08/28 L 43-33 H #105 Berea-Midpark (5-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (23%), perf. rating 122
09/04 L 32-6 A #66 St Johns Jesuit (3-4) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 109
09/11 W 56-21 A #362 Lorain (2-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 155
09/18 L 35-7 H #69 Strongsville (4-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (17%), perf. rating 101
09/25 W 32-10 A #426 Shaker Heights (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 16 (85%), perf. rating 125
10/02 L 15-6 H #172 Brunswick (5-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 111
10/09 H #230 Cleveland Heights (1-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 3 (57%)
10/16 A #91 Riverside (Painesville) (4-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #63 Mentor (5-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.90 ( 7.60-19.00) 99% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 29%
Lose: 7.00 ( 5.70-17.05) 75% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 17.95 (16.80-19.00) 100% in, 5% home, proj. #10 (#8-#11), Strongsville (4-3) 26%
( 9%) 5W: 13.30 (11.75-17.05) 100% in, proj. #11 (#10-#12), Strongsville (4-3) 32%
(52%) 4W: 8.90 ( 7.60-12.70) 99% in, proj. #11 (#10-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 29%
(38%) 3W: 7.00 ( 5.70- 8.90) 73% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWW: 17.95 (16.80-19.00) 100% in, 5% home, proj. #10 (#8-#11), Strongsville (4-3) 26%
( 4%) WLW: 13.95 (12.65-14.65) 100% in, proj. #11 (#10-#12), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 32%
( 5%) WWL: 12.90 (11.75-14.55) 100% in, proj. #11 (#10-#12), Strongsville (4-3) 33%
( 2%) LLW: 12.05 (11.20-12.70) 100% in, proj. #11 (#10-#12), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 32%
( 2%) LWL: 11.00 (10.20-12.00) 99% in, proj. #11 (#11-out), Strongsville (4-3) 37%
(49%) WLL: 8.90 ( 7.60-10.20) 99% in, proj. #11 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 29%
(38%) LLL: 7.00 ( 5.70- 8.90) 73% in, proj. #12 (#11-out), Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 119.8, #220, D1 #57), 89% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 121.1, #211, D1 #57), 94% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 120.2, #216, D1 #58), 85% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 125.1, #183, D1 #54), 86% (bubble if 3-7), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 118.8, #233, D1 #63), 67% (bubble if 3-7), 13% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 121.8, #209, D1 #61), 71% (bubble if 3-7), 24% home (maybe if 5-5), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 117.2, #231, D1 #61), 62% (bubble if 3-7), 23% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 116.0, #231, D1 #60), 53% (bubble if 3-7), 26% home (maybe if 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 3-7
Last season 123.5