Region 5 home page
Region 5 projections
Region 5 playoff probabilities
Region 5 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 5 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#62 of 104 in Division 2
#17 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #56 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #74 in D2 (-370 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 34-0 H #602 Cuyahoga Falls (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 33 (93%), perf. rating 109
08/29 L 48-29 A #131 Madison (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 11 (29%), perf. rating 109
09/05 L 40-34 A #308 Brush (2-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 101
09/12 W 49-7 H #476 Firestone (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 143
09/19 H #194 Maple Heights (3-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 10 (27%)
09/26 H #216 Mayfield (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/03 A #143 Kenston (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/09 H #232 North (Eastlake) (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/17 H #117 Chardon (3-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/24 A #103 Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
18% (likely needs 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.55 ( 5.05-27.60) 52% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 17%
Lose: 5.25 ( 1.80-21.70) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 7W: 20.70 (18.15-24.10) 100% in, 84% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Twinsburg (4-0) 22%
( 5%) 6W: 16.60 (13.75-20.00) 99% in, 25% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 24%
(11%) 5W: 12.95 (10.40-17.80) 80% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Nordonia (4-0) 16%
(20%) 4W: 9.35 ( 6.35-13.05) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 23%
(30%) 3W: 5.95 ( 3.50- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(33%) 2W: 3.00 ( 1.80- 5.20) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLWWL: 16.75 (14.45-19.55) 100% in, 20% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Twinsburg (4-0) 25%
( 4%) WWLWLL: 13.20 (10.85-15.50) 88% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Nordonia (4-0) 20%
( 3%) WLLWLL: 10.20 ( 7.30-12.55) 20% in, proj. out (#10-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 32%
( 7%) LWLWLL: 8.80 ( 7.05-11.10) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out), Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) 24%
( 6%) WLLLLL: 7.35 ( 5.05- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 50%
( 8%) LWLLLL: 5.95 ( 4.20- 8.25) out
(12%) LLLWLL: 5.80 ( 4.05- 8.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) 100%
(33%) LLLLLL: 3.00 ( 1.80- 5.20) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 111.6, #279, D2 #62), 18% (likely needs 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 106.8, #318, D2 #71), 11% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 107.5, #312, D2 #69), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 111.5, #279, D2 #63), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 109.8, #278, D2 #60), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 111.7