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Rankings
#81 of 101 in Division 4
#18 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #87 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #213 Hawken (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 34 (6%)
08/28 A #487 John Hay (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 8 (34%)
09/05 A #524 John Marshall (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/12 H #573 Warrensville Heights (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 H #252 Holy Name (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/25 A #654 Richmond Heights (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/03 H #212 Gilmour Academy (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/09 A #429 Lutheran East (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/16 A #409 John F Kennedy (Warren) (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/24 H #508 Shaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.05 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.35 ( 0.55-30.10) 73% in, 42% home, 12% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 5.85 ( 0.00-25.31) 27% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Norton (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 20.56 (14.20-27.78) 100% in, 97% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 44%
( 4%) 8W: 17.53 (10.87-24.81) 99% in, 82% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
( 7%) 7W: 14.64 ( 7.79-22.79) 96% in, 49% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 10%
(10%) 6W: 11.94 ( 5.12-18.65) 82% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
(13%) 5W: 9.37 ( 4.21-16.59) 49% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out), Norton (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 7.05 ( 2.81-13.11) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Norton (0-0) 12%
(16%) 3W: 4.94 ( 1.35-12.06) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(15%) 2W: 2.97 ( 0.85- 8.12) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(12%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.40- 5.04) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Norton (0-0) 9%
Hubbard (0-0) 9%
East (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) 7%
West Geauga (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 17%
Streetsboro (0-0) 15%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Rocky River (0-0) 11%
Norton (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.9, #392, D3 #72), 46% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 77.8