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Rankings
#42 of 102 in Division 4
#12 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #84 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D4 (-127 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 29-24 A #204 Hawken (6-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 34 (6%), perf. rating 117
08/28 W 49-18 A #517 John Hay (2-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 11 (71%), perf. rating 125
09/05 W 50-0 A #582 John Marshall (1-7) D2 R6, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 128
09/12 W 14-0 H #477 Warrensville Heights (2-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 21 (89%), perf. rating 103
09/18 L 31-20 H #195 Holy Name (4-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 13 (21%), perf. rating 105
09/25 W 55-12 A #558 Richmond Heights (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 25 (94%), perf. rating 134
10/03 L 59-42 H #207 Gilmour Academy (5-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 10 (26%), perf. rating 95
10/09 W 28-6 A #426 Lutheran East (3-5) D4 R13, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 125
10/16 A #369 John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/24 H #574 Shaw (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 35 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.61 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#10 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
97% (likely in at 6-4 or better), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.61 (12.14-16.03) 99% in, proj. #10 (#9-out), East (Akron) (7-1) 23%
Lose: 11.89 ( 9.42-13.20) 90% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), West Geauga (7-1) 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
(70%) 7W: 14.61 (13.20-16.03) 100% in, proj. #10 (#9-#12), East (Akron) (7-1) 23%
(29%) 6W: 11.89 (10.52-13.66) 92% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), West Geauga (7-1) 34%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(70%) WW: 14.61 (13.20-16.03) 100% in, proj. #10 (#9-#12), East (Akron) (7-1) 23%
(29%) LW: 11.89 (10.52-13.20) 91% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), West Geauga (7-1) 34%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 105.2, #328, D4 #46), 67% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 6 (4-2, 107.0, #313, D4 #42), 84% (likely needs 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 103.4, #345, D4 #53), 77% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 104.3, #333, D4 #47), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 103.3, #344, D4 #51), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 96.5, #384, D4 #60), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 88.2, #434, D4 #69), 56% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 76.3, #522, D4 #81), 29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 77.8