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Region 13 playoff probabilities
Region 13 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#80 of 102 in Division 4
#19 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #68 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #90 in D4 (-548 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 31-6 H #411 Marlington (2-5) D4 R13, pick: L by 12 (28%), perf. rating 54
08/29 W 57-0 A #678 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 23 (88%), perf. rating 95
09/04 W 24-8 A #458 Westlake (2-5) D2 R6, pick: L by 30 (5%), perf. rating 112
09/12 L 14-0 A #328 Cleveland Central Cath. (4-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 86
09/18 L 26-16 H #403 Lutheran East (3-4) D4 R13, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 77
09/25 L 48-7 H #244 Maple Heights (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 54
10/02 L 35-21 A #276 Brush (4-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 93
10/08 H #89 Garfield Heights (5-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/16 H #574 Richmond Heights (3-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/23 H #376 Bedford (2-5) D3 R9, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.43 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Lose: 4.48 ( 2.21- 8.67) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(17%) 4W: 6.14 ( 5.64- 9.93) out, proj. out
(70%) 3W: 4.43 ( 3.87- 7.21) out, proj. out
(12%) 2W: 2.21 ( 2.21- 4.28) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(17%) LWW: 6.14 ( 5.64- 8.67) out
(69%) LWL: 4.43 ( 3.97- 6.50) out
( 1%) LLW: 4.33 ( 3.87- 4.93) out
(12%) LLL: 2.21 ( 2.21- 4.28) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 81.8, #493, D4 #80), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 79.8, #496, D4 #79), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 82.3, #483, D4 #79), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 84.7, #468, D4 #76), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 84.2, #468, D4 #76), 14% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 68.1, #569, D4 #89), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 59.0, #614, D4 #97), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 66.7, #573, D4 #91), 11% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 67.3