Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#426 Shaker Heights Red Raiders (1-6) 90.7

Updated Sun 04-Oct-2026 08:06 AM
Week 7 complete

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Rankings
#76 of 100 in Division 2
#18 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #35 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D2 (-593 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-21 H #357 Geneva (3-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 110
08/28 L 19-9 A #272 Solon (3-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 100
09/04 L 43-13 H #75 Mayfield (7-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 97
09/10 L 33-3 H #91 Riverside (Painesville) (4-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 94
09/18 L 31-14 A #172 Brunswick (5-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 103
09/25 L 32-10 H #220 Euclid (3-4) D1 R1, pick: L by 16 (15%), perf. rating 85
10/02 L 35-0 A #362 Lorain (2-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 51
10/09 H #63 Mentor (5-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/16 H #69 Strongsville (4-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/23 A #230 Cleveland Heights (1-6) D1 R1, pick: L by 26 (4%)

Regular season projections
1-9 record
2.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs

Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs

Depending on the next game
Win: 7.80 ( 6.00-12.30) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 2.70 ( 2.20- 9.80) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 2W: 4.55 ( 3.50- 8.35) out, proj. out
(93%) 1W: 2.70 ( 2.20- 3.75) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) LLW: 4.00 ( 3.50- 5.85) out
(93%) LLL: 2.70 ( 2.20- 3.75) out

Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 90.7, #426, D2 #76), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (1-5, 101.5, #355, D2 #69), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 102.6, #349, D2 #66), 2% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 105.1, #327, D2 #65), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 108.0, #304, D2 #62), 9% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 113.1, #270, D2 #56), 17% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 120.2, #215, D2 #51), 45% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 105.8, #307, D2 #64), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 105.5