Region 21 home page
Region 21 projections
Region 21 playoff probabilities
Region 21 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 21 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#59 of 108 in Division 6
#11 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #38 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D6 (-166 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 23-6 H #513 East Canton (4-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 100
08/28 L 14-13 H #368 Tuslaw (2-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 96
09/04 W 66-0 H #657 River View (0-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 99
09/11 W 30-27 A #515 Northwestern (W. Salem) (2-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 84
09/18 W 7-6 H #495 Rittman (3-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 79
09/25 L 21-7 A #294 Norwayne (3-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 91
10/02 A #610 Waynedale (1-5) D5 R18, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/09 H #317 Dalton (2-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/16 A #205 Smithville (6-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 H #254 Hillsdale (5-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 26 (4%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.05 ( 7.20-17.65) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Smithville (6-0) 23%
Lose: 7.20 ( 5.55-12.25) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 7W: 13.40 (12.20-15.70) 95% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), United (4-1) 27%
(15%) 6W: 10.10 ( 8.80-13.30) 27% in, proj. out (#9-out), Smithville (6-0) 26%
(78%) 5W: 8.05 ( 7.20-11.60) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 5%) 4W: 7.20 ( 5.55- 8.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLW: 13.10 (12.20-14.75) 93% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), United (4-1) 30%
( 2%) WLWL: 12.00 (10.50-13.30) 66% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Hillsdale (5-1) 31%
( 4%) WLLW: 11.50 (10.60-12.55) 47% in, proj. out (#9-out), Smithville (6-0) 30%
( 9%) WWLL: 9.90 ( 8.80-11.40) 10% in, proj. out (#11-out), Smithville (6-0) 29%
(78%) WLLL: 8.05 ( 7.20- 9.75) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Smithville (6-0) 33%
( 5%) LLLL: 7.20 ( 5.55- 8.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 84.7, #468, D6 #59), 6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (4-1, 86.1, #454, D6 #55), 16% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (3-1, 88.4, #439, D6 #53), 22% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 90.1, #429, D6 #50), 22% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 84.7, #464, D6 #59), 19% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 68.4, #569, D6 #78), 5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 52.0, #630, D6 #93), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 46.8