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Rankings
#80 of 105 in Division 5
#22 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #57 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #558 Tuscarawas Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 3 (55%)
08/28 A #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 26 (10%)
09/04 H #683 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 37 (98%)
09/11 A #311 Smithville (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 29 (4%)
09/18 H #183 Norwayne (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 A #192 Hillsdale (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/02 H #630 Chippewa (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/09 H #615 Northwestern (W. Salem) (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/16 A #236 Dalton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/23 H #511 Rittman (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.23 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
3% (bubble if 8-2), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.64 ( 0.45-20.42) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Triway (0-0) 7%
Lose: 2.37 ( 0.00-19.06) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 15.57 (11.78-20.42) 86% in, 26% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Margaretta (0-0) 9%
( 2%) 8W: 12.85 ( 8.76-18.50) 44% in, 5% home, proj. out (#5-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 7W: 10.43 ( 6.59-15.68) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Norwayne (0-0) 10%
(11%) 6W: 8.11 ( 4.17-14.52) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 5W: 6.04 ( 3.06-11.44) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(22%) 4W: 4.23 ( 1.90- 8.77) out, proj. out
(20%) 3W: 2.59 ( 1.15- 7.01) out, proj. out
(13%) 2W: 1.46 ( 0.70- 4.94) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.48) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Triway (0-0) 8%
Margaretta (0-0) 7%
Bluffton (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Bath (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 112.0, #267, D5 #30), 45% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 71.8