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Rankings
#17 of 105 in Division 5
#10 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #39 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #44 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #406 Keystone (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 25 (87%)
08/28 H #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 6 (38%)
09/04 H #135 Garaway (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 7 (35%)
09/11 A #511 Rittman (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (98%)
09/18 A #533 Waynedale (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 H #630 Chippewa (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/02 A #236 Dalton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/09 H #311 Smithville (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/16 A #192 Hillsdale (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 H #615 Northwestern (W. Salem) (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 45 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
69% (bubble if 6-4), 44% home (maybe if 8-2), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.75 ( 1.75-29.95) 75% in, 49% home, 22% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 9.60 ( 0.00-25.50) 28% in, 10% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 10W: 24.90 (18.80-29.95) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 92%
(16%) 9W: 21.40 (14.90-27.85) 100% in, 97% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 48%
(20%) 8W: 18.00 (12.70-23.30) 99% in, 66% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 7%
(19%) 7W: 14.75 ( 9.55-20.15) 81% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(15%) 6W: 11.80 ( 7.15-18.35) 33% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
(10%) 5W: 9.15 ( 5.20-15.45) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Triway (0-0) 8%
( 5%) 4W: 6.65 ( 3.35-11.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.40 ( 2.40-11.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.55 ( 1.20- 6.20) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 5%
Margaretta (0-0) 5%
Eastwood (0-0) 5%
Archbold (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 10%
Triway (0-0) 9%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 75.5, #526, D5 #78), 13% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 123.3