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Rankings
#33 of 103 in Division 7
#8 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #33 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #39 in D7 (-38 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 52-0 H #636 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 33 (93%), perf. rating 107
08/28 W 35-0 H #605 Coventry (1-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 19 (83%), perf. rating 109
09/04 W 49-13 H #632 South Central (3-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 101
09/11 L 34-7 H #245 Norwayne (5-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (20%), perf. rating 74
09/18 L 7-6 A #442 Chippewa (6-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 89
09/25 L 35-0 H #342 Dalton (2-6) D7 R25, pick: L by 13 (20%), perf. rating 49
10/02 L 41-0 A #221 Smithville (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 34 (1%), perf. rating 61
10/09 L 34-7 H #243 Hillsdale (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 30 (2%), perf. rating 74
10/16 A #562 Northwestern (W. Salem) (2-6) D6 R21, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #569 Waynedale (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.59 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#11 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
84% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.59 ( 4.63- 8.11) 95% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (5-3) 31%
Lose: 5.03 ( 3.42- 6.50) 53% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
(58%) 5W: 6.59 ( 5.84- 8.11) 98% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (5-3) 32%
(32%) 4W: 5.39 ( 4.63- 6.50) 83% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 34%
(10%) 3W: 4.18 ( 3.42- 5.69) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(58%) WW: 6.59 ( 5.84- 8.11) 98% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (5-3) 32%
(14%) WL: 5.39 ( 4.63- 6.50) 85% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 34%
(17%) LW: 5.39 ( 4.63- 6.50) 82% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 34%
(10%) LL: 4.18 ( 3.42- 5.69) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out), Mogadore (6-2) 41%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 78.8, #508, D7 #35), 53% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 80.0, #495, D7 #34), 50% (likely needs 5-5), 4% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (3-2, 85.7, #457, D7 #31), 64% (bubble if 4-6), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 4 (3-1, 85.4, #462, D7 #31), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 36% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 3 (3-0, 91.9, #418, D7 #25), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 87.8, #442, D7 #26), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 81.7, #487, D7 #32), 61% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 77.3, #511, D7 #38), 42% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 80.3