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Rankings
#36 of 105 in Division 5
#8 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #12 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #27 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #311 Smithville (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 4 (56%)
08/28 A #630 Chippewa (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 39 (97%)
09/04 A #373 Caldwell (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 10 (28%)
09/18 A #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/25 H #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 15 (17%)
10/02 H #324 Toronto (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/09 H #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/16 A #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/23 H #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
51% (bubble if 5-5), 33% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.90 ( 0.85-32.25) 69% in, 47% home, 22% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 32%
Lose: 5.95 ( 0.00-28.55) 28% in, 13% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 27.05 (21.45-32.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 6%) 9W: 23.25 (16.75-29.25) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 87%
( 9%) 8W: 19.70 (13.15-25.85) 100% in, 97% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 45%
(11%) 7W: 16.50 ( 8.85-23.10) 99% in, 79% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(12%) 6W: 13.50 ( 7.30-19.55) 92% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
(13%) 5W: 10.75 ( 5.85-16.35) 60% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 8.10 ( 3.55-13.90) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Garfield (0-0) 11%
(13%) 3W: 5.60 ( 1.70-10.85) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(11%) 2W: 3.35 ( 0.85- 7.95) out, proj. out
( 7%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.40- 4.85) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 6%
Berkshire (0-0) 6%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 6%
Girard (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 15%
Barnesville (0-0) 13%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 12%
Girard (0-0) 10%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 69.6, #558, D5 #85), 9% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 115.0