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Rankings
#1 of 105 in Division 4
#1 of 26 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #39 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #4 in D4 (+482 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 33-27 A #23 Massillon Washington (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 15 (25%), perf. rating 178
08/29 W 13-7 A #61 Olentangy Liberty (1-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 16 (79%), perf. rating 160
09/05 L 28-16 A #3 Avon (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 173
09/12 L 28-14 A #2 St Edward (4-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 173
09/19 H #553 John Adams (3-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/26 A #509 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/03 A #645 East Technical (1-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/10 A #8 Archbishop Hoban (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/17 H #475 John Hay (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 H #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
23.12 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#3 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.63 (13.57-30.83) 100% in, 99% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 79%
Based on eventual number of wins
(24%) 8W: 26.40 (22.07-30.83) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(72%) 7W: 23.12 (18.73-26.93) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 75%
( 4%) 6W: 19.94 (15.56-23.91) 100% in, 98% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Salem (2-2) 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(24%) WWWWWW: 26.40 (22.07-30.83) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(71%) WWWLWW: 23.12 (18.73-26.93) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 75%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 169.8, #18, D4 #1), appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 168.2, #19, D4 #1), appears locked in and likely home, 62% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 170.7, #15, D4 #1), appears locked in and likely home, 81% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 173.2, #13, D4 #1), likely in, 98% home, 68% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 165.2, #21, D4 #1), likely in, 85% home (maybe if 5-5), 38% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 6-4
Last season 163.2