Region 5 home page
Region 5 projections
Region 5 playoff probabilities
Region 5 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 5 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#7 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #50 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D2 (+313 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 31-18 A #3 Massillon Washington (3-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 6 (39%), perf. rating 169
08/28 W 34-13 A #23 Olentangy Liberty (1-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (42%), perf. rating 200
09/04 W 37-21 H Football North ON (2-1) D4
09/11 L 35-13 A #1 Bishop Watterson (4-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 13 (22%), perf. rating 166
09/18 A #398 Rhodes (2-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 A #535 John Hay (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/02 H #657 East Technical (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #13 Archbishop Hoban (0-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 A #552 John Adams (1-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 H #592 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
21.08 Harbin points (divisor 91)
#7 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.74 (14.71-26.62) 100% in, 92% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Brush (2-2) 18%
Lose: 16.91 (12.46-21.96) 98% in, 29% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
(48%) 8W: 22.67 (17.72-26.62) 100% in, 97% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), Brush (2-2) 18%
(49%) 7W: 21.08 (16.08-24.65) 100% in, 89% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Brush (2-2) 19%
( 3%) 6W: 18.17 (13.61-22.34) 99% in, 49% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Brush (2-2) 17%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(48%) WWWWWW: 22.67 (17.72-26.62) 100% in, 97% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), Brush (2-2) 18%
(47%) WWWLWW: 21.08 (17.12-24.65) 100% in, 89% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Brush (2-2) 19%
( 1%) WWLLWW: 20.01 (17.34-22.34) 100% in, 78% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Brush (2-2) 21%
( 1%) WLWLWW: 18.09 (14.71-20.53) 100% in, 49% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Riverside (Painesville) (2-2) 16%
( 1%) WWWLLW: 17.86 (14.87-21.24) 100% in, 42% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Brush (2-2) 21%
( 1%) LWWLWW: 16.69 (13.61-19.16) 99% in, 23% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) 16%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 177.6, #12, D2 #7), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye, proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 180.3, #8, D2 #6), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 178.8, #9, D2 #6), likely in, 75% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 168.4, #21, D2 #10), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 172.9, #14, D2 #9), likely in, 85% home (maybe if 5-5), 40% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 176.8