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Rankings
#88 of 104 in Division 2
#21 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #100 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D2 (-482 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-0 A #381 Lutheran East (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 50
08/30 L 13-6 A #403 Cleveland Central Cath. (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 87
09/05 W 24-7 A #596 Independence (0-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 89
09/12 W 48-0 H #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 98
09/19 A #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (31%)
09/26 A #695 Lincoln West (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/03 A #407 University School (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/09 A #645 East Technical (1-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/17 A #18 Glenville (2-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/24 A #553 John Adams (3-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.07 Harbin points (divisor 92)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
31% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.42 ( 6.45-21.42) 75% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 17%
Lose: 8.52 ( 1.87-18.32) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 7W: 15.38 (12.66-18.86) 98% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 20%
(24%) 6W: 12.82 ( 8.69-15.87) 74% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) 17%
(40%) 5W: 9.07 ( 6.30-14.11) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 25%
(23%) 4W: 5.91 ( 4.17-10.63) out, proj. out
( 3%) 3W: 3.57 ( 1.94- 6.83) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WWWWLW: 15.38 (12.66-18.37) 98% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 20%
(15%) WWLWLW: 13.20 (11.41-15.37) 85% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) 16%
( 8%) LWWWLW: 11.19 ( 8.69-14.02) 57% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 19%
( 4%) WWLWLL: 9.88 ( 8.31-11.68) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 35%
(33%) LWLWLW: 9.07 ( 7.06-11.73) 9% in, proj. out (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 24%
( 2%) LWWWLL: 8.03 ( 6.30-10.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Walsh Jesuit (4-0) 100%
(20%) LWLWLL: 5.86 ( 4.17- 8.09) out
( 2%) LWLLLL: 3.46 ( 1.94- 5.36) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 82.2, #475, D2 #88), 31% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 81.8, #491, D2 #90), 34% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 71.3, #559, D2 #94), 14% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 75.4, #536, D2 #93), 32% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 88.7, #461, D2 #89), 56% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 85.7