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Rankings
#59 of 72 in Division 1
#14 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #27 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D1 (-275 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 18-7 H #246 Dover (1-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 14 (26%), perf. rating 98
08/29 L 44-10 A #23 Massillon Washington (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 36 (4%), perf. rating 118
09/06 W 50-6 H #645 East Technical (1-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 109
09/12 L 38-0 A #31 Canton McKinley (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 107
09/19 H #24 Lake (Uniontown) (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 38 (1%)
09/26 H #63 Hoover (4-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/03 A #83 Green (Uniontown) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/10 H #92 Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/17 H #401 Mansfield Senior (0-4) D3 R10, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/24 A #82 Perry (Massillon) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 29 (3%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.37 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
6% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Lose: 3.37 ( 1.11-16.38) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Strongsville (3-1) 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 4W: 9.04 ( 6.14-13.31) 74% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Strongsville (3-1) 26%
(13%) 3W: 5.79 ( 2.81-10.34) 23% in, proj. out (#9-out), Strongsville (3-1) 25%
(70%) 2W: 3.37 ( 1.66- 7.67) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(14%) 1W: 2.22 ( 1.11- 3.68) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWLLWL: 7.00 ( 5.13- 9.78) 39% in, proj. out (#10-out), Strongsville (3-1) 26%
( 3%) LLLLWW: 6.19 ( 4.43- 9.12) 27% in, proj. out (#10-out), Strongsville (3-1) 25%
( 5%) LLLWWL: 5.54 ( 3.47- 8.42) 16% in, proj. out (#10-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 34%
( 3%) LLWLWL: 5.08 ( 2.81- 7.41) 12% in, proj. out (#11-out), Berea-Midpark (3-1) 23%
(69%) LLLLWL: 3.37 ( 1.66- 6.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Perrysburg (3-1) 33%
(14%) LLLLLL: 2.22 ( 1.11- 3.68) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 111.9, #274, D1 #59), 6% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 118.4, #230, D1 #56), 33% (bubble if 3-7), 3% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 122.2, #205, D1 #51), 46% (bubble if 3-7), 7% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 124.0, #180, D1 #50), 35% (bubble if 3-7), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 124.9, #181, D1 #54), 47% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 119.3