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Rankings
#67 of 80 in Division 1
#16 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #19 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #67 in D1 (-390 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 36-21 A #169 Dover (1-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 6 (39%), perf. rating 106
08/28 L 54-7 H #3 Massillon Washington (2-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 44 (1%), perf. rating 120
09/05 N #200 Cleveland Heights (0-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 9 (31%)
09/11 H #37 Canton McKinley (1-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 35 (2%)
09/18 A #64 Lake (Uniontown) (2-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/25 A #87 Hoover (2-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 H #105 Green (Uniontown) (1-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 A #66 Jackson (Massillon) (1-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/16 A #194 Louisville (1-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/23 H #70 Perry (Massillon) (2-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.77 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
9% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.54 ( 0.65- 7.16) 24% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Austintown-Fitch (0-1) 16%
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 5.45) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 3.24 ( 2.90- 3.74) 93% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Austintown-Fitch (0-1) 17%
( 7%) 3W: 2.38 ( 2.08- 2.88) 39% in, proj. out (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (0-1) 17%
(16%) 2W: 1.55 ( 1.31- 2.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(30%) 1W: 0.77 ( 0.65- 1.15) out, proj. out
(41%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLLLLLWL: 1.52 ( 1.31- 1.85) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), St Edward (2-0) 100%
( 2%) LLLLLLLW: 0.82 ( 0.70- 1.14) out
( 3%) LLLLWLLL: 0.78 ( 0.66- 1.03) out
(11%) WLLLLLLL: 0.78 ( 0.65- 1.03) out
(10%) LLLLLLWL: 0.71 ( 0.66- 0.99) out
(41%) LLLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (0-2, 113.8, #262, D1 #67), 12% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 113.0, #264, D1 #67), 15% (bubble if 3-7), 3% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 118.2, #217, D1 #57), 34% (bubble if 3-7), 14% home (maybe if 5-5), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 118.5